Sunday , 16 August 2026

Brescia Calcio vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2026
Fri 16 Aug 2024 · 18:30 UTC Stadio Mario Rigamonti 7,706 HT 45' · FT 45'
Davide Adorni 90' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Brescia Calcio vs Palermo FCSerie B at Stadio Mario Rigamonti.

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Aureliano
  • Assistant 1 Alessio Tolfo
  • Assistant 2 Paolo Laudato (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Palermo FC H 1–0 W
10 May SSC Bari A 0–2 L
05 May Calcio Lecco 1912 H 4–1 W
01 May FeralpiSalo A 2–2 D
27 Apr Spezia Calcio H 0–0 D
20 Apr Ternana Calcio H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Brescia Calcio A 0–1 L
10 May FC Südtirol A 1–0 W
05 May Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC H 2–2 D
01 May Spezia Calcio A 0–1 L
27 Apr AC Reggiana H 1–2 L
19 Apr Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–0 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stadio Mario Rigamonti. Brescia Calcio are looking to make home advantage count against Palermo FC.
  • 5' Palermo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Stadio Mario Rigamonti. Palermo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 12' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lorenzo Dickmann.
  • 17' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 22' Brescia Calcio are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Palermo FC's 4-3-2-1 shape.
  • 27' Filippo Ranocchia has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 32' Palermo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 38' It is a substitution in Palermo FC team. Alfred Gomis is replaced by Sebastiano Desplanches on 38 minute.
  • 43' Brescia Calcio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' Federico Di Francesco has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 50' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Brescia Calcio side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 55' Alexis Blin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alfred Gomis, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Mario Rigamonti with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 67' Palermo FC make a change. Federico Di Francesco trudges off to be replaced by Francesco Di Mariano on 67 minutes.
  • 72' Alessio Buttaro is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Palermo FC so far.
  • 77' The travelling Palermo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Brescia Calcio. Giacomo Olzer is replaced by Ante Juric.
  • 82' Another substitution for Palermo FC to replace Kristoffer Lund by Alessio Buttaro on 82 minute.
  • 83' A tactical swap from Brescia CalcioNicolas Galazzi on, Niccolo Corrado off on 83 minutes.
  • 88' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 90' A stunning finish from Davide Adorni — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32 Brescia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brescia Calcio50% Draw29% Palermo FC21%
Actual: Brescia Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Brescia Calcio or Draw
78%
Draw or Palermo FC
50%
Brescia Calcio or Palermo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Brescia Calcio31% Draw52% Palermo FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Brescia Calcio

Handicap Brescia Calcio covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Brescia Calcio keeps clean sheet
44%
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.