Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Brescia Calcio vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2026
Fri 16 Aug 2024 · 18:30 UTC Stadio Mario Rigamonti 7,706 HT 45' · FT 45'
Davide Adorni 90' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Brescia Calcio vs Palermo FC — Serie B at Stadio Mario Rigamonti.

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Aureliano
  • Assistant 1 Alessio Tolfo
  • Assistant 2 Paolo Laudato (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Palermo FC H 1–0 W
10 May SSC Bari A 0–2 L
05 May Calcio Lecco 1912 H 4–1 W
01 May FeralpiSalo A 2–2 D
27 Apr Spezia Calcio H 0–0 D
20 Apr Ternana Calcio H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Brescia Calcio A 0–1 L
10 May FC Südtirol A 1–0 W
05 May Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC H 2–2 D
01 May Spezia Calcio A 0–1 L
27 Apr AC Reggiana H 1–2 L
19 Apr Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–0 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Brescia Calcio is hosting Palermo FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rolando Maran will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Filippo Ranocchia needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 12' Lorenzo Dickmann has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 12.
  • 17' The 31-year-old Luca Lezzerini has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 22' Brescia Calcio seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 27' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Claudio Gomes made 444 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 37' It is a cagey affair so far. Brescia Calcio in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Palermo FC's compact 4-3-2-1.
  • 38' Another change for Palermo FC made on 38 minute. Alfred Gomis leaves to be changed by Sebastiano Desplanches.
  • 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Federico Di Francesco on 45 minutes earns him a card. Palermo FC will be frustrated.
  • 50' Federico Di Francesco has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 389 appearances.
  • 55' Alessio Buttaro has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 60' The travelling Palermo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 65' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 67' Palermo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Francesco Di Mariano is hanging Federico Di Francesco on the field on 67 minute.
  • 72' Brescia Calcio is showing some good football. However, Brescia Calcio are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 77' Palermo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 78' Brescia Calcio make a change. Giacomo Olzer trudges off to be replaced by Ante Juric on 78 minutes.
  • 82' The Palermo FC bench stirs into life. Kristoffer Lund is withdrawn and Alessio Buttaro gets his opportunity.
  • 83' Nicolas Galazzi is replacing Niccolo Corrado for the Brescia Calcio side.
  • 88' It looks surprising Palermo FC does not make any changes. Alexander Jallow has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' A stunning finish from Davide Adorni — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Brescia Calcio take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32 Brescia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brescia Calcio50% Draw29% Palermo FC21%
Actual: Brescia Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Brescia Calcio or Draw
78%
Draw or Palermo FC
50%
Brescia Calcio or Palermo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Brescia Calcio31% Draw52% Palermo FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Brescia Calcio

Handicap Brescia Calcio covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Brescia Calcio keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.