Saturday , 14 November 2026

PSV vs Liverpool FC, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

3 – 2
Full Time
Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Philips Stadion 35,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 28' Cody Gakpo pen
Johan Bakayoko 35' 1–1
1–2 40' Harvey Elliott
Ismael Saibari 45' 2–2
Ricardo Pepi 45+6' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs Liverpool FC — Champions League at Philips Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
10 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
PSV 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals Liverpool FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Liverpool FC H 3–2 W
25 Jan NAC Breda H 3–2 W
21 Jan FK Crvena Zvezda A 3–2 W
18 Jan PEC Zwolle A 1–3 L
11 Jan AZ H 2–2 D
22 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan PSV A 2–3 L
25 Jan Ipswich Town FC H 4–1 W
21 Jan Lille OSC H 2–1 W
18 Jan Brentford FC A 2–0 W
14 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
11 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

PSV Liverpool FC
#28 Position #3
8 Points 18
8 Played 8
2 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 2
16 Scored 20
16 Conceded 8
+0 GD +12
1.00 PPG 2.25
25% Win % 75%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
PSV this season
0% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

PSV are 28th (8 pts). Liverpool FC are 3rd (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/2
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Liverpool FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
5/3
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against PSV and Liverpool FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Tygo Land needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' Jayden Danns has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 419 appearances.
  • 15' With 7 assists to his name this season, Cody Gakpo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PSV.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 28' What a moment for Cody Gakpo! That strike on 28 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. PSV must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' Johan Bakayoko makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and PSV are in front.
  • 40' Harvey Elliott is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the midfielder.
  • 45' Ismael Saibari does the damage! The net is bulging and PSV surge ahead!
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Joey Veerman on 45 minutes.
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 51' Sensational shot from Ricardo Pepi. PSV is back in the lead.
  • 52' A tactical swap from Liverpool FC — Tyler Morton on, Cody Gakpo off on 52 minutes.
  • 57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 62' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His PSV side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 63' Tyler Morton is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
  • 64' Liverpool FC make a change. Andrew Robertson trudges off to be replaced by Trey Nyoni on 64 minutes.
  • 66' The referee calls foul for Harvey Elliott. He receives a card.
  • 66' Richie Ledezma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rick Karsdorp on 66 minute.
  • 71' PSV currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 76' Another substitution for PSV to replace Ismael Saibari by Couhaib Driouech on 76 minute.
  • 81' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 83' A tactical swap from Liverpool FC — Amara Nallo on, Jayden Danns off on 83 minutes.
  • 87' The referee calls foul for Amara Nallo. He receives a card.
  • 90' The whistle greets Guus Til as he departs to be replaced by Isaac Babadi.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-2.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.99 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + PSV or Liverpool FC 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PSV39% Draw21% Liverpool FC40%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
61%
Draw or Liverpool FC
61%
PSV or Liverpool FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PSV28% Draw36% Liverpool FC36%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 3
3.6%
1 – 4
3.2%
2 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 15% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 18% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 14% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.