Thursday , 2 July 2026

PSV vs Liverpool FC, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

3 2
Full Time
Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Philips Stadion 35,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 28' Cody Gakpo pen
Johan Bakayoko 35' 1–1
1–2 40' Harvey Elliott
Ismael Saibari 45' 2–2
Ricardo Pepi 45+6' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs Liverpool FCChampions League at Philips Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
PSV 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals Liverpool FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Liverpool FC H 3–2 W
25 Jan NAC Breda H 3–2 W
21 Jan FK Crvena Zvezda A 3–2 W
18 Jan PEC Zwolle A 1–3 L
11 Jan AZ H 2–2 D
22 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan PSV A 2–3 L
25 Jan Ipswich Town FC H 4–1 W
21 Jan Lille OSC H 2–1 W
18 Jan Brentford FC A 2–0 W
14 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
11 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

PSV Liverpool FC
#28 Position #3
8 Points 18
8 Played 8
2 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 2
16 Scored 20
16 Conceded 8
+0 GD +12
1.00 PPG 2.25
25% Win % 75%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season
42% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

PSV are 28th (8 pts). Liverpool FC are 3rd (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for PSV to score. At the same time, Liverpool FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Isaac Babadi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PSV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Liverpool FC is showing some good football. However, Liverpool FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 28' Cody Gakpo puts Liverpool FC on the lead.
  • 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' What an equalizer from Johan Bakayoko!
  • 40' Harvey Elliott puts Liverpool FC on the lead.
  • 45' What a strike from Ismael Saibari! The score is 2-2.
  • 45' The referee shows PSV player a card on 45.
  • 50' Liverpool FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 51' Ricardo Pepi puts PSV on the lead.
  • 52' Another substitution for Liverpool FC to replace Cody Gakpo by Tyler Morton on 52 minute.
  • 57' It looks surprising Liverpool FC does not make any changes. Federico Chiesa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 62' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with PSV winning 100% of all matches.
  • 63' Tyler Morton is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Trey Nyoni. He replaces Andrew Robertson on 64 minute.
  • 66' Liverpool FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 66' Another substitution for PSV to replace Rick Karsdorp by Richie Ledezma on 66 minute.
  • 71' Wataru Endo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Couhaib Driouech. He replaces Ismael Saibari on 76 minute.
  • 81' Supporters expect more eagerness from Olivier Boscagli, as he is very good at scoring at Philips Stadion with 7 goals in the last 6 games.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Liverpool FC team. Jayden Danns is replaced by Amara Nallo on 83 minute.
  • 87' The referee calls foul for Amara Nallo. He receives a card.
  • 90' Another change for PSV made on 90 minute. Guus Til leaves to be changed by Isaac Babadi.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-2.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.99 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + PSV or Liverpool FC 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PSV39% Draw21% Liverpool FC40%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
61%
Draw or Liverpool FC
61%
PSV or Liverpool FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PSV28% Draw36% Liverpool FC36%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 3
3.6%
1 – 4
3.2%
2 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 15% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 18% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 14% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
10%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.