Wednesday , 30 September 2026

PSV vs Liverpool FC, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

3 – 2
Full Time
Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Philips Stadion 35,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 28' Cody Gakpo pen
Johan Bakayoko 35' 1–1
1–2 40' Harvey Elliott
Ismael Saibari 45' 2–2
Ricardo Pepi 45+6' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs Liverpool FC — Champions League at Philips Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
PSV 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals Liverpool FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Liverpool FC H 3–2 W
25 Jan NAC Breda H 3–2 W
21 Jan FK Crvena Zvezda A 3–2 W
18 Jan PEC Zwolle A 1–3 L
11 Jan AZ H 2–2 D
22 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan PSV A 2–3 L
25 Jan Ipswich Town FC H 4–1 W
21 Jan Lille OSC H 2–1 W
18 Jan Brentford FC A 2–0 W
14 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
11 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

PSV Liverpool FC
#28 Position #3
8 Points 18
8 Played 8
2 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 2
16 Scored 20
16 Conceded 8
+0 GD +12
1.00 PPG 2.25
25% Win % 75%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season
0% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

PSV are 28th (8 pts). Liverpool FC are 3rd (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Liverpool FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PSV
Sergino Dest 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Philips Stadion. Ninety minutes of football awaits between PSV and Liverpool FC.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arne Slot will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Tyler Morton has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 415 appearances.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Liverpool FC have won 814 goals from 415 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. PSV in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Liverpool FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 28' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Cody Gakpo makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 33' It’s high time Arne Slot made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' Johan Bakayoko adds to his 0 season tally! PSV lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 40' GOAL! Harvey Elliott scores on 40. Assisted by Federico Chiesa
  • 45' Against the run of play, Ismael Saibari has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Joey Veerman on 45 minutes.
  • 50' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Conor Bradley suffering a number of foals already.
  • 51' Ricardo Pepi makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and PSV are in front.
  • 52' The whistle greets Cody Gakpo as he departs to be replaced by Tyler Morton.
  • 57' PSV are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Liverpool FC backline.
  • 62' PSV are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tyler Morton on 63 minutes.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Liverpool FC. Andrew Robertson is replaced by Trey Nyoni.
  • 66' The referee calls foul for Harvey Elliott. He receives a card.
  • 66' Richie Ledezma gets the nod from PSV. He replaces Rick Karsdorp and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' Liverpool FC is showing some good football. However, Liverpool FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 76' Couhaib Driouech is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ismael Saibari at the 76 minute mark.
  • 81' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 81 minutes.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Liverpool FC! Amara Nallo comes on to replace Jayden Danns.
  • 87' That is a card for Liverpool FC. Amara Nallo will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' The PSV bench stirs into life. Guus Til is withdrawn and Isaac Babadi gets his opportunity.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-2.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.99 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + PSV or Liverpool FC 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PSV39% Draw21% Liverpool FC40%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
61%
Draw or Liverpool FC
61%
PSV or Liverpool FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PSV28% Draw36% Liverpool FC36%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 3
3.6%
1 – 4
3.2%
2 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 15% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 18% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 14% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.