Sunday , 16 August 2026

PSV vs Liverpool FC, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

3 2
Full Time
Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Philips Stadion 35,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 28' Cody Gakpo pen
Johan Bakayoko 35' 1–1
1–2 40' Harvey Elliott
Ismael Saibari 45' 2–2
Ricardo Pepi 45+6' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs Liverpool FCChampions League at Philips Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
5 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.4 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
PSV 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals Liverpool FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Liverpool FC H 3–2 W
25 Jan NAC Breda H 3–2 W
21 Jan FK Crvena Zvezda A 3–2 W
18 Jan PEC Zwolle A 1–3 L
11 Jan AZ H 2–2 D
22 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan PSV A 2–3 L
25 Jan Ipswich Town FC H 4–1 W
21 Jan Lille OSC H 2–1 W
18 Jan Brentford FC A 2–0 W
14 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
11 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

PSV Liverpool FC
#28 Position #3
8 Points 18
8 Played 8
2 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 2
16 Scored 20
16 Conceded 8
+0 GD +12
1.00 PPG 2.25
25% Win % 75%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season
42% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

PSV are 28th (8 pts). Liverpool FC are 3rd (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Liverpool FC
Dominik Szoboszlai 5 G 4 A
Mohamed Salah 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: PSV gets underway.
  • 5' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both PSV and Liverpool FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' PSV are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Liverpool FC backline.
  • 25' Luuk de Jong needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 26 Yellow cards this season.
  • 28' Cody Gakpo makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Liverpool FC are in front.
  • 33' PSV currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' What a moment for Johan Bakayoko! That strike on 35 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 40' Goal! Harvey Elliott scores his 16 goal in 409 matches.
  • 45' What composure from Ismael Saibari! The Morocco international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Joey Veerman. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 50' Liverpool FC have won 805 goals from 409 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 51' A goal from the USA international Ricardo Pepi! He fires home on 45 to make it 3-2!
  • 52' The Liverpool FC manager makes a substitution. Cody Gakpo departs to be replaced by Tyler Morton.
  • 57' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Liverpool FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 63' Poor challenge from Tyler Morton. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 64' Trey Nyoni has so much to prove this time. He replaces Andrew Robertson on 64 minute.
  • 66' The referee shows Liverpool FC player a card on 66.
  • 66' Richie Ledezma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rick Karsdorp on 66 minute.
  • 71' It looks like no one’s ball. PSV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 76' A change in the PSV ranks — Ismael Saibari exits the field as Couhaib Driouech enters on 76.
  • 81' PSV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Liverpool FC team. Jayden Danns is replaced by Amara Nallo on 83 minute.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Amara Nallo on 87 minutes.
  • 90' The PSV bench stirs into life. Guus Til is withdrawn and Isaac Babadi gets his opportunity.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from PSV to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.99 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + PSV or Liverpool FC 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PSV39% Draw21% Liverpool FC40%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
61%
Draw or Liverpool FC
61%
PSV or Liverpool FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PSV28% Draw36% Liverpool FC36%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 3
3.6%
1 – 4
3.2%
2 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 15% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 18% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 14% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
10%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.