NAC Breda vs PSV, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs PSV — Eredivisie .
Match Details
- Referee Marc Nagtegaal
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AFC Ajax | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AZ | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Groningen | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Twente '65 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | NEC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | PSV | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SBV Excelsior | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Heerenveen | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Telstar 1963 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | PSV | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | FC Volendam | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Nov | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | SC Heerenveen | A | 3–3 | D |
| 18 Oct | PEC Zwolle | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Oct | FC Groningen | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | NAC Breda | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | AZ | A | 5–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | PAE Olympiakos SFP | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Oct | Fortuna Sittard | H | 5–2 | W |
| 26 Oct | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Oct | SSC Napoli | H | 6–2 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
PSV Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 3 |
| Donyell Malen | 2 |
| Ricardo Pepi | 2 |
| Guus Til | 2 |
| Ismael Saibari | 1 |
| Johan Bakayoko | 1 |
| Kacper Kostorz | 1 |
| Leo Sauer | 1 |
Head to Head
NAC Breda Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1
NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
PSV xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw
50%
Draw or PSV
77%
NAC Breda or PSV
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PSV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10%
0 – 2
9.1%
1 – 2
9%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
| Handicap | NAC Breda covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

