Orlando City SC vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Exploria Stadium.
- Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar | Minnesota United FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 02 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–5 | L |
| 25 Feb | Montreal Impact FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Oct | Nashville SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar | Orlando City SC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Feb | Austin FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 5–2 | W |
| 05 Oct | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #25 |
| 20 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 2 / 10 | W / D / L | 6 / 6 / 6 |
| 30 | Scored | 20 |
| 47 | Conceded | 25 |
| -17 | GD | -5 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
32%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
–/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 11 G |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 8 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Exploria Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Orlando City SC and Minnesota United FC.
- 1' Duncan McGuire does the damage! The net is bulging and Orlando City SC surge ahead!
- 4' The Finland Teemu Pukki breaks the deadlock on 4 minutes. 1-1!
- 9' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 9 minutes.
- 14' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Orlando City SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 19' Orlando City SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Minnesota United FC's shape.
- 24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Felipe Martins made 277 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Eric Ramsay might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 32' The referee calls foul for Wil Trapp. He receives a card.
- 34' That is a card for Orlando City SC. Felipe Martins will be fuming at that decision.
- 38' GOAL! Teemu Pukki scores on 38. Assisted by Robin Lod
- 41' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — Cesar Araujo exits the field as Wilder Cartagena enters on 41.
- 44' Michael Boxall is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
- 46' Nicolas Lodeiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Felipe Martins at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Orlando City SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Minnesota United FC backline.
- 54' The crowd applauds Robin Lod as he leaves the pitch. Kervin Arriaga steps in for Minnesota United FC.
- 55' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — Dagur THorhallsson exits the field as Michael Halliday enters on 55.
- 58' A change in the Minnesota United FC ranks — Caden Clark exits the field as Tani Oluwaseyi enters on 58.
- 63' It is a cagey affair so far. Orlando City SC in their trying to find a way past Minnesota United FC's compact .
- 66' It is a substitution in Minnesota United FC team. Teemu Pukki is replaced by Bongokuhle Hlongwane on 66 minute.
- 70' The referee does not hesitate — a card for D.J. Taylor on 70 minutes.
- 75' The 29-year-old Dayne St. Clair has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 77' Minnesota United FC make a change. D.J. Taylor trudges off to be replaced by Zarek Valentin on 77 minutes.
- 79' Minnesota United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 83' Duncan McGuire does the damage! The net is bulging and Orlando City SC surge ahead!
- 87' Another substitution for Orlando City SC to replace Duncan McGuire by Kyle Smith on 87 minute.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Dayne St. Clair argues furiously but the card stands.
- With this win, Minnesota United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 11
- 1
- 8
- 3
- 6
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Luis Muriel 55'
- 7
-
5
Cesar Araujo ↓ Wilder Cartagena 41'
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↓ Kyle Smith 87'
- 17
Bench
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 55'
-
14
Nicolas Lodeiro ↑ 46'
-
16
Wilder Cartagena ↑ 41'
- 31
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 87'
-
26
Michael Halliday ↑ 55'
- 4
- 14
- 33
Coach
Óscar Pareja
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
17
Robin Lod ↓ Kervin Arriaga 54'
- 20
- 15
- 31
- 97
-
37
Caden Clark ↓ Tani Oluwaseyi 58'
-
27
D.J. Taylor ↓ Zarek Valentin 77'
- 8
- 4
- 11
Bench
-
3
Zarek Valentin ↑ 77'
- 1
-
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane ↑ 66'
-
14
Tani Oluwaseyi ↑ 58'
-
33
Kervin Arriaga ↑ 54'
- 2
-
99
Jordan Adebayo-Smith ↑ 77'
- 40
- 25
Coach
Eric Ramsay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duncan McGuire | 3 |
| Nani | 3 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 2 |
| Teemu Pukki | 2 |
| Ethan Finlay | 2 |
| Ethan Finlay | 2 |
| Ivan Angulo | 1 |
| Yoshimar Yotun | 1 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
2024-03-10
Orlando City SC
2–3
Minnesota United FC
L
2024-03-02
Internacional CF Miami
5–0
Orlando City SC
L
2024-02-25
Orlando City SC
0–0
Montreal Impact FC
D
2023-10-21
Toronto FC
0–2
Orlando City SC
W
2023-10-07
Orlando City SC
3–2
New England Revolution
W
2023-10-05
Nashville SC
0–1
Orlando City SC
W
Minnesota United FC Form
2024-03-10
Orlando City SC
2–3
Minnesota United FC
W
2024-03-02
Minnesota United FC
1–1
Columbus Crew SC
D
2024-02-25
Austin FC
1–2
Minnesota United FC
W
2023-10-22
Sporting Kansas City
3–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-10-08
Minnesota United FC
5–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
2023-10-05
Los Angeles FC
5–1
Minnesota United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.84
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Orlando City SC or Minnesota United FC 75% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
64%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
61%
Orlando City SC or Minnesota United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 0
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
1 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 18% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

