Orlando City SC vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2026 MLS IS BACK SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex.
- Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Drew Fischer
- Referee Logan Brown
- Referee Ramy Touchan
- Referee Joe Dickerson
- Referee Micheal Barwegen
17 games this season
🟨 2.6/game
⚽ 11.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug | Minnesota United FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Philadelphia Union | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Jul | New York City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug | Orlando City SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 4–1 | W |
| 29 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Jul | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jul | Real Salt Lake | A | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Jul | Sporting Kansas City | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #25 |
| 20 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 2 / 10 | W / D / L | 6 / 6 / 6 |
| 30 | Scored | 20 |
| 47 | Conceded | 25 |
| -17 | GD | -5 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
32%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
–/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 11 G |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 8 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex. Orlando City SC are looking to make home advantage count against Minnesota United FC.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Michael Boxall is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Orlando City SC tonight.
- 15' Joao Moutinho needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 20' The 27-year-old Mason Toye has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Orlando City SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 36' Magnificent from Nani! That is 49 goals in 125 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 41' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Adrian Heath will be considering his options from the bench.
- 42' GOAL! Nani scores on 42. Assisted by Jhegson Mendez
- 47' Orlando City SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 52' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 57' The travelling Minnesota United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 58' Fresh legs for Minnesota United FC! Aaron Schoenfeld comes on to replace Luis Amarilla.
- 63' Antonio Carlos has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 67' Junior Urso is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tesho Akindele at the 67 minute mark.
- 71' Raheem Edwards gets the nod from Minnesota United FC. He replaces Ethan Finlay and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' Both keepers have barely been tested. Orlando City SC and Minnesota United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 81' Orlando City SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Minnesota United FC's shape.
- 83' Mason Toye has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 83 minutes.
- 85' Orlando City SC make a change. Robin Jansson trudges off to be replaced by Rodrigo Schlegel on 85 minutes.
- 89' Another change for Orlando City SC made on 89 minute. Mauricio Pereyra leaves to be changed by Kyle Smith.
- 3-1 the final result. Minnesota United FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 2
- 17
-
13
Tesho Akindele ↓ Junior Urso 67'
- 4
- 1
-
10
Mauricio Pereyra ↓ Kyle Smith 89'
- 20
- 9
- 6
-
8
Jhegson Mendez ↓ Andres Perea 85'
Bench
- 77
-
15
Rodrigo Schlegel ↑ 85'
- 23
-
11
Junior Urso ↑ 67'
- 3
- 27
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 89'
-
19
Benji Michel ↑ 67'
- 29
-
21
Andres Perea ↑ 85'
- 18
- 34
Coach
Óscar Pareja
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
17
Robin Lod ↓ Kevin Molino 58'
-
5
Jacori Hayes ↓ Mason Toye 58'
- 1
- 6
- 15
-
13
Ethan Finlay ↓ Raheem Edwards 71'
- 4
- 9
- 8
- 31
- 77
Bench
- 19
-
44
Raheem Edwards ↑ 71'
- 94
- 14
-
7
Kevin Molino ↑ 58'
-
23
Mason Toye ↑ 58'
-
12
Aaron Schoenfeld ↑ 58'
- 18
- 99
- 41
Coach
Adrian Heath
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duncan McGuire | 3 |
| Nani | 3 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 2 |
| Teemu Pukki | 2 |
| Ethan Finlay | 2 |
| Ethan Finlay | 2 |
| Yoshimar Yotun | 1 |
| Yoshimar Yotun | 1 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
2020-08-07
Orlando City SC
3–1
Minnesota United FC
W
2020-07-31
Orlando City SC
1–1
Los Angeles FC
D
2020-07-26
Orlando City SC
1–0
Montreal Impact FC
W
2020-07-21
Philadelphia Union
1–1
Orlando City SC
D
2020-07-15
New York City FC
1–3
Orlando City SC
W
2020-07-09
Orlando City SC
2–1
Internacional CF Miami
W
Minnesota United FC Form
2020-08-07
Orlando City SC
3–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2020-08-02
San Jose Earthquakes
1–4
Minnesota United FC
W
2020-07-29
Columbus Crew SC
1–1
Minnesota United FC
D
2020-07-23
Colorado Rapids SC
2–2
Minnesota United FC
D
2020-07-18
Real Salt Lake
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
2020-07-13
Sporting Kansas City
1–2
Minnesota United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Orlando City SC or Minnesota United FC 75% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
69%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
56%
Orlando City SC or Minnesota United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 19% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

