Orlando City SC vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2026 MLS IS BACK SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex.
- Orlando City SC 15 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Drew Fischer
- Referee Logan Brown
- Referee Ramy Touchan
- Referee Joe Dickerson
- Referee Micheal Barwegen
16 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug | Minnesota United FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Philadelphia Union | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Jul | New York City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug | Orlando City SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 4–1 | W |
| 29 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Jul | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jul | Real Salt Lake | A | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Jul | Sporting Kansas City | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #23 |
| 14 | Points | 22 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 2 / 9 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 23 | Scored | 18 |
| 44 | Conceded | 22 |
| -21 | GD | -4 |
| 0.93 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 27% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts). Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
–/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Aaron Schoenfeld has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Minnesota United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 15' It’s high time Óscar Pareja made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Orlando City SC and Minnesota United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Robin Lod suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 36' What composure from Nani! The Portugal international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 41' Minnesota United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 42' Assisted by Jhegson Mendez with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nani makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 47' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 52' Orlando City SC is showing some good football. However, Orlando City SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 57' Orlando City SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 58' A change in the Minnesota United FC ranks — Luis Amarilla exits the field as Aaron Schoenfeld enters on 58.
- 63' Minnesota United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 67' Junior Urso is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tesho Akindele at the 67 minute mark.
- 71' A change in the Minnesota United FC ranks — Ethan Finlay exits the field as Raheem Edwards enters on 71.
- 76' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 81' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 83' Goal! Mason Toye scores his 23 goal in 282 matches.
- 85' The whistle greets Robin Jansson as he departs to be replaced by Rodrigo Schlegel.
- 89' Fresh legs for Orlando City SC! Kyle Smith comes on to replace Mauricio Pereyra.
- With this win, Orlando City SC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 2
- 17
-
13
Tesho Akindele ↓ Junior Urso 67'
- 4
- 1
-
10
Mauricio Pereyra ↓ Kyle Smith 89'
- 20
- 9
- 6
-
8
Jhegson Mendez ↓ Andres Perea 85'
Bench
- 77
-
15
Rodrigo Schlegel ↑ 85'
- 23
-
11
Junior Urso ↑ 67'
- 3
- 27
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 89'
-
19
Benji Michel ↑ 67'
- 29
-
21
Andres Perea ↑ 85'
- 18
- 34
Coach
Óscar Pareja
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
17
Robin Lod ↓ Kevin Molino 58'
-
5
Jacori Hayes ↓ Mason Toye 58'
- 1
- 6
- 15
-
13
Ethan Finlay ↓ Raheem Edwards 71'
- 4
- 9
- 8
- 31
- 77
Bench
- 19
-
44
Raheem Edwards ↑ 71'
- 94
- 14
-
7
Kevin Molino ↑ 58'
-
23
Mason Toye ↑ 58'
-
12
Aaron Schoenfeld ↑ 58'
- 18
- 99
- 41
Coach
Adrian Heath
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nani | 3 |
| Duncan McGuire | 3 |
| Ethan Finlay | 2 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 2 |
| Teemu Pukki | 2 |
| Ethan Finlay | 2 |
| Yoshimar Yotun | 1 |
| Abu Danladi | 1 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
2020-08-07
Orlando City SC
3–1
Minnesota United FC
W
2020-07-31
Orlando City SC
1–1
Los Angeles FC
D
2020-07-26
Orlando City SC
1–0
Montreal Impact FC
W
2020-07-21
Philadelphia Union
1–1
Orlando City SC
D
2020-07-15
New York City FC
1–3
Orlando City SC
W
2020-07-09
Orlando City SC
2–1
Internacional CF Miami
W
Minnesota United FC Form
2020-08-07
Orlando City SC
3–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2020-08-02
San Jose Earthquakes
1–4
Minnesota United FC
W
2020-07-29
Columbus Crew SC
1–1
Minnesota United FC
D
2020-07-23
Colorado Rapids SC
2–2
Minnesota United FC
D
2020-07-18
Real Salt Lake
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
2020-07-13
Sporting Kansas City
1–2
Minnesota United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Orlando City SC or Minnesota United FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
66%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
59%
Orlando City SC or Minnesota United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 0
5.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
5.1%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 18% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 18% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.