Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 22 Jan 2022 · 12:30 UTC City Ground, Nottingham HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jan Derby County FC H 2–1 W
15 Jan Millwall FC A 1–0 W
30 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC H 0–1 L
26 Dec Middlesbrough FC A 0–2 L
18 Dec Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
11 Dec Swansea City AFC A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
15 Jan Sheffield United FC H 2–0 W
03 Jan Reading FC A 2–2 D
30 Dec Stoke City FC A 2–1 W
27 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–0 W
11 Dec Blackpool FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nottingham Forest FC is hosting Derby County FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Djed Spence made 383 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 31' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 31.
  • 32' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Liam Thompson gets a Yellow card.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Lewis Grabban.
  • 40' It looks like no one’s ball. Nottingham Forest FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 45' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 48' Lewis Grabban puts Nottingham Forest FC on the lead.
  • 51' Derby County FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 56' The referee calls foul for Lee Buchanan. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 60' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ravel Morrison is hanging Festy Ebosele on the field on 60 minute.
  • 65' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 68' Time for substitution for Nottingham Forest FC. Keinan Davis is replaced by Philip Zinckernagel.
  • 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nottingham Forest FC that had 372 games and scored 433 goals.
  • 77' Another change for Derby County FC made on 77 minute. Liam Thompson leaves to be changed by Louie Sibley.
  • 82' What a strike from Brennan Johnson! The score is 2-0.
  • 84' The whistle greets Lewis Grabban as he departs to be replaced by Lyle Taylor.
  • 87' GOAL! Tom Lawrence scores on 87.
  • 89' Derby County FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 90' Derby County FC receives a Red card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Nottingham Forest FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC45% Draw28% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
55%
Nottingham Forest FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC29% Draw49% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.