Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 22 Jan 2022 · 12:30 UTC City Ground, Nottingham HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jan Derby County FC H 2–1 W
15 Jan Millwall FC A 1–0 W
30 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC H 0–1 L
26 Dec Middlesbrough FC A 0–2 L
18 Dec Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
11 Dec Swansea City AFC A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
15 Jan Sheffield United FC H 2–0 W
03 Jan Reading FC A 2–2 D
30 Dec Stoke City FC A 2–1 W
27 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–0 W
11 Dec Blackpool FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nottingham Forest FC and Derby County FC is underway.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nottingham Forest FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lewis Grabban made 377 appearances and scored 60 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 31' A meaty challenge results in booking for Liam Thompson on 31.
  • 32' The referee has no hesitation. Liam Thompson is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 32.
  • 35' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Lewis Grabban on 35 minutes.
  • 40' The 25-year-old Brennan Johnson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 45' Nottingham Forest FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 48' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lewis Grabban makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 51' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 51.
  • 56' Poor challenge from Lee Buchanan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 60' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Ravel Morrison on, Festy Ebosele off on 60 minutes.
  • 65' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nottingham Forest FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 68' The Nottingham Forest FC bench stirs into life. Keinan Davis is withdrawn and Philip Zinckernagel gets his opportunity.
  • 73' It’s high time Wayne Rooney made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 77' Derby County FC make a change. Liam Thompson trudges off to be replaced by Louie Sibley on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Magnificent from Brennan Johnson! That is 65 goals in 377 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 84' Lyle Taylor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lewis Grabban on 84 minute.
  • 87' Tom Lawrence adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 89' The referee calls foul for Tom Lawrence. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 90' Ravel Morrison is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Nottingham Forest FC 2-1 Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Nottingham Forest FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC45% Draw28% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
55%
Nottingham Forest FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC29% Draw49% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.