Saturday , 14 November 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 22 Jan 2022 · 12:30 UTC City Ground, Nottingham HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jan Derby County FC H 2–1 W
15 Jan Millwall FC A 1–0 W
30 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC H 0–1 L
26 Dec Middlesbrough FC A 0–2 L
18 Dec Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
11 Dec Swansea City AFC A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
15 Jan Sheffield United FC H 2–0 W
03 Jan Reading FC A 2–2 D
30 Dec Stoke City FC A 2–1 W
27 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–0 W
11 Dec Blackpool FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Nottingham Forest FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at City Ground, Nottingham.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Nottingham Forest FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jason Knight is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luke Plange, as he is very good at scoring at City Ground, Nottingham with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nottingham Forest FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' Brice Samba, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 31' That is a Yellow card for Derby County FC. Liam Thompson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 32' Liam Thompson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 32.
  • 35' The referee calls foul for Lewis Grabban. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 48' GOAL! Lewis Grabban fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 51' Controversy at the stadium! Richard Stearman argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 56' Poor challenge from Lee Buchanan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 60' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Festy Ebosele exits the field as Ravel Morrison enters on 60.
  • 65' James Garner has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 420 appearances.
  • 68' It is a substitution in Nottingham Forest FC team. Keinan Davis is replaced by Philip Zinckernagel on 68 minute.
  • 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nottingham Forest FC that had 380 games and scored 439 goals.
  • 77' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Liam Thompson exits the field as Louie Sibley enters on 77.
  • 82' Brennan Johnson makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Nottingham Forest FC are in front.
  • 84' Lyle Taylor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lewis Grabban on 84 minute.
  • 87' The deadlock is broken! Tom Lawrence gets on the scoresheet on 87 minutes.
  • 89' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Tom Lawrence gets a Yellow card.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Red card for Ravel Morrison.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Nottingham Forest FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC45% Draw28% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
55%
Nottingham Forest FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC29% Draw49% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.