Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 28 Aug 2021 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 1–1 D
21 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D
18 Aug Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
14 Aug Peterborough United FC A 1–2 L
07 Aug Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–1 D
08 May Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Aug Derby County FC A 1–1 D
21 Aug Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
18 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–2 L
14 Aug AFC Bournemouth H 1–2 L
08 Aug Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
08 May Preston North End FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 11' What a strike from Tom Lawrence! The score is 1-0.
  • 16' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 21' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 21 minutes.
  • 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 31' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for James Garner.
  • 39' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Kamil Jozwiak.
  • 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 46' Another substitution for Nottingham Forest FC to replace Joao Carvalho by Alexander Mighten on 46 minute.
  • 51' The travelling Nottingham Forest FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Phil Jagielka made 319 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 66' Kelle Roos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 67' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 67.
  • 67' Jack Stretton is replacing Tom Lawrence for the Derby County FC side.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Grabban. He replaces Ryan Yates on 69 minute.
  • 74' It’s high time Chris Hughton made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 79' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 80' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 80.
  • 81' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lee Buchanan is hanging Kamil Jozwiak on the field on 81 minute.
  • 82' What an equalizer from Brennan Johnson!
  • 83' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Louie Sibley.
  • 88' Louie Sibley needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 38 Yellow cards this season.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.17 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC42% Draw30% Nottingham Forest FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
58%
Derby County FC or Nottingham Forest FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC26% Draw53% Nottingham Forest FC21%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.