Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 28 Aug 2021 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 1–1 D
21 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D
18 Aug Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
14 Aug Peterborough United FC A 1–2 L
07 Aug Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–1 D
08 May Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Aug Derby County FC A 1–1 D
21 Aug Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
18 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–2 L
14 Aug AFC Bournemouth H 1–2 L
08 Aug Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
08 May Preston North End FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, Nottingham Forest FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Nottingham Forest FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' Phil Jagielka, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 11' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tom Lawrence makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 16' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Nottingham Forest FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Scott McKenna, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Curtis Davies made 397 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 397 games and scored 462 goals.
  • 35' James Garner catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 35.
  • 39' Controversy at the stadium! Kamil Jozwiak argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' Alexander Mighten is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joao Carvalho at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Max Bird is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' It looks like no one’s ball. Nottingham Forest FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 66' It’s high time Chris Hughton made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Ravel Morrison. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 67' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Tom Lawrence by Jack Stretton on 67 minute.
  • 69' Time for substitution for Nottingham Forest FC. Ryan Yates is replaced by Lewis Grabban.
  • 74' Gaetan Bong has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 79' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nathan Byrne is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 80' Poor challenge from Nathan Byrne. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 81' Another change for Derby County FC made on 81 minute. Kamil Jozwiak leaves to be changed by Lee Buchanan.
  • 82' Magnificent from Brennan Johnson! That is 65 goals in 380 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 83' Poor challenge from Louie Sibley. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 88' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.17 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC42% Draw30% Nottingham Forest FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
58%
Derby County FC or Nottingham Forest FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC26% Draw53% Nottingham Forest FC21%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.