Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Fri 23 Oct 2020 · 18:45 UTC The City Ground HT 45+2' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
20 Oct Rotherham United FC H 1–1 D
17 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
03 Oct Bristol City FC H 1–2 L
25 Sep Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
19 Sep Cardiff City FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
20 Oct Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
16 Oct Watford FC H 0–1 L
03 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
26 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–4 L
19 Sep Luton Town FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at The City Ground. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Lolley suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' The 29-year-old Scott McKenna has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 18' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Cyrus Christie on 18 minutes.
  • 23' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nottingham Forest FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 28' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' What a strike from Martyn Waghorn! The score is 0-1.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Nottingham Forest FC! Anthony Knockaert comes on to replace Lewis Grabban.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' Colin Kazim-Richards has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 61' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 64' Lyle Taylor has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 64 minutes.
  • 69' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 74' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 77' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Nathan Byrne departs to be replaced by Duane Holmes.
  • 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Colin Kazim-Richards comes on to replace Martyn Waghorn.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Harry Arter. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.09 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Nottingham Forest FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC41% Draw31% Derby County FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
59%
Nottingham Forest FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC25% Draw54% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13%
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.