Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Fri 23 Oct 2020 · 18:45 UTC The City Ground HT 45+2' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The City Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Simpson
  • Referee Shaun Hudson
  • Referee Robert Hyde
  • Referee Tony Harrington

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
20 Oct Rotherham United FC H 1–1 D
17 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
03 Oct Bristol City FC H 1–2 L
25 Sep Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
19 Sep Cardiff City FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
20 Oct Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
16 Oct Watford FC H 0–1 L
03 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
26 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–4 L
19 Sep Luton Town FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to The City Ground that hosts another battle between Nottingham Forest FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 18' Cyrus Christie picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 23' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' GOAL! Martyn Waghorn fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Chris Hughton might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' Graeme Shinnie has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' Another change for Nottingham Forest FC made on 46 minute. Lewis Grabban leaves to be changed by Anthony Knockaert.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 56' Louie Sibley is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nottingham Forest FC so far.
  • 61' Nottingham Forest FC is showing some good football. However, Nottingham Forest FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 64' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lyle Taylor makes it 1-1.
  • 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Lolley suffering a number of foals already.
  • 74' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 74 minutes.
  • 77' Derby County FC ring the changes. Nathan Byrne has done his job and it is now time for Duane Holmes to step up.
  • 82' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Phillip Cocu will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 86' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Martyn Waghorn is replaced by Colin Kazim-Richards.
  • 90' Harry Arter has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • The points are shared — Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 Derby County FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.09 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Nottingham Forest FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC41% Draw31% Derby County FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
59%
Nottingham Forest FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC25% Draw54% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13%
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.