Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Fri 23 Oct 2020 · 18:45 UTC The City Ground HT 45+2' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at The City Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Simpson
  • Referee Shaun Hudson
  • Referee Robert Hyde
  • Referee Tony Harrington

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
20 Oct Rotherham United FC H 1–1 D
17 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
03 Oct Bristol City FC H 1–2 L
25 Sep Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
19 Sep Cardiff City FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
20 Oct Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
16 Oct Watford FC H 0–1 L
03 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
26 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–4 L
19 Sep Luton Town FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nottingham Forest FC is hosting Derby County FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' Kamil Jozwiak has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 18' Cyrus Christie was booked on 18.
  • 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sammy Ameobi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 28' Nathan Byrne has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' Martyn Waghorn has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
  • 35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 40' Colin Kazim-Richards has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 385 appearances.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' Another change for Nottingham Forest FC made on 46 minute. Lewis Grabban leaves to be changed by Anthony Knockaert.
  • 51' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matt Clarke made 371 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nottingham Forest FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 64' A stunning finish from Lyle Taylor — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 69' The 41-year-old Curtis Davies has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 74' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 77' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Nathan Byrne by Duane Holmes on 77 minute.
  • 82' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 82.
  • 86' Colin Kazim-Richards gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Martyn Waghorn and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Harry Arter. He receives a Yellow card.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.09 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Nottingham Forest FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC41% Draw31% Derby County FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
59%
Nottingham Forest FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC25% Draw54% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13%
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.