Norway vs Italy, UEFA Womens Euro 2025 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Norway vs Italy — UEFA Womens Euro at Stade de Geneve.
Match Details
- Referee Stephanie Frappart
8 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 8.9 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Norway this season
Norway this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Norway
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Norway
| Signe Gaupset | 2 G | 2 A |
| Frida Maanum | 2 G | |
| Ada Hegerberg | 2 G | |
| Caroline Graham Hansen | 1 G |
Italy
| Cristiana Girelli | 3 G |
| Arianna Caruso | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Norway welcome Italy for this crunch clash at Stade de Geneve.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sofia Cantore suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Italy are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 23' That looks like a foul for a card for Lisa Naalsund.
- 28' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Italy winning 100% of all matches.
- 33' Italy have won 10 goals from 8 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 38' Italy has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 48' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 50' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Cristiana Girelli makes it 0-1.
- 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
- 58' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Elena Linari on 58 minutes.
- 59' The referee calls foul for Andrea Soncin. He receives a card.
- 64' Time for substitution for Norway. Frida Maanum is replaced by Elisabeth Terland.
- 66' Ada Hegerberg doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 71' Norway are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 76' Italy started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 76.
- 77' Giada Greggi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Emma Severini on 77 minute.
- 82' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 87' Another substitution for Norway to replace Thea Bjelde by Emelie Woldvik on 87 minute.
- 90' Magnificent from Cristiana Girelli! That is 4 goals in 8 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 90' Italy make a change. Sofia Cantore trudges off to be replaced by Martina Lenzini on 90 minutes.
- The points are shared — Norway 1-2 Italy. Honours even.
Lineups
Norway Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 4
- 18
-
13
Thea Bjelde ↓ Emelie Woldvik 87'
- 7
- 22
- 6
- 21
- 11
- 10
- 14
Bench
- 23
- 12
- 16
- 5
-
3
Emelie Woldvik ↑ 87'
- 8
- 15
- 9
- 17
- 20
-
19
Elisabeth Terland ↑ 64'
Coach
Gemma Grainger
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 5
- 2
- 23
- 11
- 18
- 6
-
8
Emma Severini ↓ Giada Greggi 77'
-
7
Sofia Cantore ↓ Martina Lenzini 90'
- 10
Bench
- 12
- 22
- 14
- 17
- 13
- 16
-
20
Giada Greggi ↑ 77'
-
19
Martina Lenzini ↑ 90'
- 4
-
21
Michela Cambiaghi ↑ 77'
-
9
Martina Piemonte ↑ 90'
- 15
Coach
Andrea Soncin
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57
Norway xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Norway or Italy 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Norway or Draw
67%
Draw or Italy
60%
Norway or Italy
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Norway
| Handicap | Norway covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Norway keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.