Thursday , 1 October 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Arsenal FC H 1–2 L
21 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 0–0 D
18 Sep FC Barcelona H 1–2 L
13 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
30 Aug Leeds United FC A 0–0 D
25 Aug Liverpool FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Newcastle United FC A 2–1 W
21 Sep Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
16 Sep Athletic Club A 2–0 W
13 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 3–0 W
31 Aug Liverpool FC A 0–1 L
23 Aug Leeds United FC H 5–0 W

Season Stats

Newcastle United FC Arsenal FC
#9 Position #2
8 Points 12
5 Played 5
2 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 1
9 Scored 8
9 Conceded 4
+0 GD +4
1.60 PPG 2.40
40% Win % 80%

Key Stats

18% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
60% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Newcastle United FC are 9th (8 pts). Arsenal FC are 2nd (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A
Arsenal FC
Bukayo Saka 3 G
Martin Odegaard 2 G
Kai Havertz 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Newcastle United FC Lineups

Arsenal FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.04 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC24% Draw26% Arsenal FC50%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Arsenal FC
76%
Newcastle United FC or Arsenal FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Newcastle United FC17% Draw45% Arsenal FC38%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9.2%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 23% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.