Saturday , 14 November 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 2 Nov 2024 · 12:30 UTC St James' Park 52,249 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alexander Isak 13' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC — Premier League at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan
9 games this season 🟨 4.9/game ⚽ 13.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
27 Oct Chelsea FC A 1–2 L
19 Oct Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–1 L
05 Oct Everton FC A 0–0 D
28 Sep Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
21 Sep Fulham FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Newcastle United FC A 0–1 L
27 Oct Liverpool FC H 2–2 D
22 Oct FK Shakhtar Donetsk H 1–0 W
19 Oct AFC Bournemouth A 0–2 L
05 Oct Southampton FC H 3–1 W
01 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Newcastle United FC Arsenal FC
#12 Position #1
12 Points 27
10 Played 10
3 / 3 / 4 W / D / L 9 / 0 / 1
13 Scored 15
16 Conceded 5
-3 GD +10
1.20 PPG 2.70
30% Win % 90%

Key Stats

18% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
70% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Newcastle United FC are 12th (12 pts). Arsenal FC are 1st (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
4/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Harvey Barnes 2 G 2 A
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.72 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Arsenal FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Newcastle United FC29% Draw31% Arsenal FC40%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Arsenal FC
71%
Newcastle United FC or Arsenal FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Newcastle United FC15% Draw56% Arsenal FC29%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.4%
0 – 1
16.3%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
4.5%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
3%
2 – 2
2.8%
2 – 3
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 15% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 25% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
49% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.