Saturday , 14 November 2026

Arsenal FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Leeds United FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
5 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Leeds United FC H 5–0 W
17 Aug Manchester United FC A 1–0 W
25 May Southampton FC A 2–1 W
18 May Newcastle United FC H 1–0 W
11 May Liverpool FC A 2–2 D
07 May Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Arsenal FC A 0–5 L
18 Aug Everton FC H 1–0 W
03 May Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–1 W
28 Apr Bristol City FC H 4–0 W
21 Apr Stoke City FC H 6–0 W
18 Apr Oxford United FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Leeds United FC
#1 Position #9
27 Points 14
10 Played 10
9 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 5 / 2
15 Scored 10
5 Conceded 8
+10 GD +2
2.70 PPG 1.40
90% Win % 30%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
70% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Arsenal FC are 1st (27 pts). Leeds United FC are 9th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
4/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 3 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Noah Okafor 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Arsenal FC Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.11 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.44 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Arsenal FC to win 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC71% Draw19% Leeds United FC10%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
91%
Draw or Leeds United FC
29%
Arsenal FC or Leeds United FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC53% Draw42% Leeds United FC5%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
17.1%
1 – 0
16.3%
3 – 0
11.7%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.3%
4 – 1
2.9%
0 – 1
2.7%
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 23% 49%
-1.5 51% — 49%
-1 51% 25% 24%
-0.5 76% — 24%
+0.5 94% — 6%
+1 94% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
65% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.