Thursday , 2 July 2026

Arsenal FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Leeds United FC H 5–0 W
17 Aug Manchester United FC A 1–0 W
25 May Southampton FC A 2–1 W
18 May Newcastle United FC H 1–0 W
11 May Liverpool FC A 2–2 D
07 May Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Arsenal FC A 0–5 L
18 Aug Everton FC H 1–0 W
03 May Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–1 W
28 Apr Bristol City FC H 4–0 W
21 Apr Stoke City FC H 6–0 W
18 Apr Oxford United FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Leeds United FC
#8 Position #21
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Arsenal FC are 8th (0 pts). Leeds United FC are 21st (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Arsenal FC Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 78% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC67% Draw24% Leeds United FC9%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
91%
Draw or Leeds United FC
33%
Arsenal FC or Leeds United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC45% Draw51% Leeds United FC4%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
23.3%
2 – 0
18.5%
0 – 0
16.9%
3 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
5.8%
4 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
4 – 1
1.4%
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
1%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 22% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 30% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 95% 5%
+1 95% 5% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
74%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.