Minnesota United FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Minnesota United FC

1 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 01:30 UTC Allianz Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Bongokuhle Hlongwane 18' 1–0

1–1 49' Andres Reyes

Y 36' Sean Nealis

Y 68' Cristian Casseres Jr.

Kervin Arriaga 76' Y

Y 87' Kyle Duncan

Overview

Match Preview

Minnesota United FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Allianz Field.

Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

Minnesota United FC 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-12 Minnesota United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2022-03-13 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Minnesota United FC 2019-04-06 New York Red Bulls 1–2 Minnesota United FC 2018-03-24 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Minnesota United FC

Recent Form

Minnesota United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	1–1	D
26 Feb	FC Dallas	A	1–0	W
18 Oct	FC Dallas	A	5–6	L
09 Oct	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	2–0	W
02 Oct	San Jose Earthquakes	A	0–2	L
18 Sep	Sporting Kansas City	A	1–4	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Minnesota United FC	A	1–1	D
05 Mar	Nashville SC	H	0–0	D
26 Feb	Orlando City SC	A	0–1	L
15 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
09 Oct	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W
01 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Minnesota United FC		New York Red Bulls
#23	Position	#5
22	Points	22
15	Played	15
6 / 4 / 5	W / D / L	6 / 4 / 5
18	Scored	25
22	Conceded	32
-4	GD	-7
1.47	PPG	1.47
40%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Minnesota United FC

0-15

1/4

16-30

2/2

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Allianz Field will turn into a battlefield for Minnesota United FC and New York Red Bulls.
5' Tom Barlow needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
15' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
18' Goal! Bongokuhle Hlongwane scores his 26 goal in 282 matches.
23' Franco Fragapane has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sean Nealis suffering a number of foals already.
33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sean Nealis on 36.
41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kyle Duncan, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
46' Minnesota United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
49' What an equalizer from Andres Reyes!
50' Sensational shot from Andres Reyes. New York Red Bulls is back in the lead.
55' Minnesota United FC is showing some good football. However, Minnesota United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
65' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Cory Burke is replaced by Elias Manoel on 65 minute.
68' Christian Casseres Jr. is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
73' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
76' The referee calls foul for Kervin Arriaga. He receives a Yellow card.
80' Another change for Minnesota United FC made on 80 minute. Franco Fragapane leaves to be changed by Tani Oluwaseyi.
85' It looks surprising Minnesota United FC does not make any changes. Daniel Edelman has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
87' Kyle Duncan was booked on 87.
90' Dylan Nealis is replacing Andres Reyes for the New York Red Bulls side.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Minnesota United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Adrian Heath

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

18
Ryan Meara
98
Hassan Ndam
21
Omir Fernandez ↑ 65'
13
Dante Vanzeir ↑ 65'
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 90'
12
Dylan Nealis ↑ 90'
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 65'
5
Peter Stroud

Coach Gerhard Struber

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Romario Ibarra	1
Abu Danladi	1
Cristian Casseres Jr.	1
Luis Amarilla	1
Bongokuhle Hlongwane	1
Andres Reyes	1

Head to Head

Minnesota United FC Form

2023-03-12 Minnesota United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2023-02-26 FC Dallas 0–1 Minnesota United FC W 2022-10-18 FC Dallas 6–5 Minnesota United FC L 2022-10-09 Minnesota United FC 2–0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC W 2022-10-02 San Jose Earthquakes 2–0 Minnesota United FC L 2022-09-18 Sporting Kansas City 4–1 Minnesota United FC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-03-12 Minnesota United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2023-03-05 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Nashville SC D 2023-02-26 Orlando City SC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2022-10-09 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Charlotte FC W 2022-10-01 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.51 Minnesota United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.16 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Minnesota United FC46% Draw27% New York Red Bulls27%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.67

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Minnesota United FC or Draw

73%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

54%

Minnesota United FC or New York Red Bulls

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Minnesota United FC31% Draw47% New York Red Bulls22%

Actual: Minnesota United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

9.4%

0 – 0

8.9%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

7.7%

0 – 1

1 – 2

6.8%

2 – 2

5.2%

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC

Handicap	Minnesota United FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	21%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	16%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.