Minnesota United FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Minnesota United FC

1 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 01:30 UTC Allianz Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Bongokuhle Hlongwane 18' 1–0

1–1 49' Andres Reyes

Y 36' Sean Nealis

Y 68' Cristian Casseres Jr.

Kervin Arriaga 76' Y

Y 87' Kyle Duncan

Overview

Match Preview

Minnesota United FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Allianz Field.

Minnesota United FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Minnesota United FC 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-12 Minnesota United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2022-03-13 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Minnesota United FC 2019-04-06 New York Red Bulls 1–2 Minnesota United FC 2018-03-24 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Minnesota United FC

Recent Form

Minnesota United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	1–1	D
26 Feb	FC Dallas	A	1–0	W
18 Oct	FC Dallas	A	5–6	L
09 Oct	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	2–0	W
02 Oct	San Jose Earthquakes	A	0–2	L
18 Sep	Sporting Kansas City	A	1–4	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Minnesota United FC	A	1–1	D
05 Mar	Nashville SC	H	0–0	D
26 Feb	Orlando City SC	A	0–1	L
15 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
09 Oct	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W
01 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Minnesota United FC		New York Red Bulls
#25	Position	#11
44	Points	42
34	Played	34
11 / 11 / 12	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16
56	Scored	48
58	Conceded	62
-2	GD	-14
1.29	PPG	1.24
32%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Minnesota United FC are 25th (44 pts). New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Minnesota United FC

0-15

4/9

16-30

5/10

31-45

7/5

46-60

8/5

61-75

9/5

76+

11/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Minnesota United FC

Kelvin Yeboah	18 G	4 A
Anthony Markanich	9 G	2 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Allianz Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Adrian Heath might look to freshen things up shortly.
15' A quiet spell here at Allianz Field. Minnesota United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
18' Bongokuhle Hlongwane doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
23' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Minnesota United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
33' It’s high time Gerhard Struber made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
36' The referee calls foul for Sean Nealis. He receives a Yellow card.
41' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Minnesota United FC and New York Red Bulls are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
46' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
49' Brilliant from the ! Andres Reyes makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 49.
50' Andres Reyes adds to his 0 season tally! New York Red Bulls lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Carlos Miguel made 225 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
60' Minnesota United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New York Red Bulls backline.
65' Elias Manoel gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Cory Burke and will look to change the dynamic.
68' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Christian Casseres Jr..
73' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
76' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Kervin Arriaga.
80' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Tani Oluwaseyi on, Franco Fragapane off on 80 minutes.
85' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
87' New York Red Bulls receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 87.
90' The supporters are chanting for Dylan Nealis. He replaces Andres Reyes on 90 minute.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Minnesota United FC 1-1 New York Red Bulls.

Lineups

Minnesota United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Adrian Heath

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

18
Ryan Meara
98
Hassan Ndam
21
Omir Fernandez ↑ 65'
13
Dante Vanzeir ↑ 65'
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 90'
12
Dylan Nealis ↑ 90'
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 65'
5
Peter Stroud

Coach Gerhard Struber

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Kelvin Yeboah	1
Anthony Markanich	1
Alex Muyl	1
Maxim Choupo-Moting	1
Emil Forsberg	1
Alex Muyl	1

Head to Head

Minnesota United FC Form

2023-03-12 Minnesota United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2023-02-26 FC Dallas 0–1 Minnesota United FC W 2022-10-18 FC Dallas 6–5 Minnesota United FC L 2022-10-09 Minnesota United FC 2–0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC W 2022-10-02 San Jose Earthquakes 2–0 Minnesota United FC L 2022-09-18 Sporting Kansas City 4–1 Minnesota United FC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-03-12 Minnesota United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2023-03-05 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Nashville SC D 2023-02-26 Orlando City SC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2022-10-09 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Charlotte FC W 2022-10-01 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.68 Minnesota United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.17 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Minnesota United FC49% Draw26% New York Red Bulls25%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.85

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Minnesota United FC or Draw

75%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

51%

Minnesota United FC or New York Red Bulls

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Minnesota United FC35% Draw45% New York Red Bulls20%

Actual: Minnesota United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

9.2%

1 – 0

8.9%

2 – 0

8.1%

0 – 0

7.6%

1 – 2

6.4%

0 – 1

5.9%

2 – 2

5.4%

3 – 1

5.2%

3 – 0

4.4%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC

Handicap	Minnesota United FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	22%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.