Minnesota United FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Minnesota United FC

1 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 01:30 UTC Allianz Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Bongokuhle Hlongwane 18' 1–0

1–1 49' Andres Reyes

Y 36' Sean Nealis

Y 68' Cristian Casseres Jr.

Kervin Arriaga 76' Y

Y 87' Kyle Duncan

Overview

Match Preview

Minnesota United FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Allianz Field.

Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Minnesota United FC 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-12 Minnesota United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2022-03-13 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Minnesota United FC 2019-04-06 New York Red Bulls 1–2 Minnesota United FC 2018-03-24 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Minnesota United FC

Recent Form

Minnesota United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	1–1	D
26 Feb	FC Dallas	A	1–0	W
18 Oct	FC Dallas	A	5–6	L
09 Oct	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	2–0	W
02 Oct	San Jose Earthquakes	A	0–2	L
18 Sep	Sporting Kansas City	A	1–4	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Minnesota United FC	A	1–1	D
05 Mar	Nashville SC	H	0–0	D
26 Feb	Orlando City SC	A	0–1	L
15 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
09 Oct	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W
01 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Minnesota United FC		New York Red Bulls
#25	Position	#8
24	Points	25
18	Played	18
6 / 6 / 6	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 7
20	Scored	29
25	Conceded	39
-5	GD	-10
1.33	PPG	1.39
33%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Minnesota United FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Minnesota United FC

Kelvin Yeboah

8 G

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Allianz Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' It’s high time Adrian Heath made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
18' Against the run of play, Bongokuhle Hlongwane has scored! This game has turned on its head.
23' New York Red Bulls are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
28' It looks surprising New York Red Bulls does not make any changes. Kyle Duncan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
33' Minnesota United FC have won 414 goals from 282 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
36' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Sean Nealis.
41' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
46' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
49' Goal! Andres Reyes scores his 8 goal in 214 matches.
50' Sensational shot from Andres Reyes. New York Red Bulls is back in the lead.
55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Michael Boxall suffering a number of foals already.
60' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
65' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Cory Burke by Elias Manoel on 65 minute.
68' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Christian Casseres Jr. gets a Yellow card.
73' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
76' Kervin Arriaga was booked on 76.
80' Minnesota United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tani Oluwaseyi is hanging Franco Fragapane on the field on 80 minute.
85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York Red Bulls needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
87' Kyle Duncan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 87.
90' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Andres Reyes exits the field as Dylan Nealis enters on 90.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Minnesota United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Adrian Heath

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

18
Ryan Meara
98
Hassan Ndam
21
Omir Fernandez ↑ 65'
13
Dante Vanzeir ↑ 65'
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 90'
12
Dylan Nealis ↑ 90'
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 65'
5
Peter Stroud

Coach Gerhard Struber

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Romario Ibarra	1
Abu Danladi	1
Cristian Casseres Jr.	1
Luis Amarilla	1
Bongokuhle Hlongwane	1
Andres Reyes	1

Head to Head

Minnesota United FC Form

2023-03-12 Minnesota United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2023-02-26 FC Dallas 0–1 Minnesota United FC W 2022-10-18 FC Dallas 6–5 Minnesota United FC L 2022-10-09 Minnesota United FC 2–0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC W 2022-10-02 San Jose Earthquakes 2–0 Minnesota United FC L 2022-09-18 Sporting Kansas City 4–1 Minnesota United FC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-03-12 Minnesota United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2023-03-05 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Nashville SC D 2023-02-26 Orlando City SC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2022-10-09 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Charlotte FC W 2022-10-01 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.48 Minnesota United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.12 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Minnesota United FC47% Draw27% New York Red Bulls26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.6

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Minnesota United FC or Draw

74%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

53%

Minnesota United FC or New York Red Bulls

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Minnesota United FC31% Draw48% New York Red Bulls21%

Actual: Minnesota United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

10%

0 – 0

9.5%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

7.9%

0 – 1

7.3%

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 2

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

4.4%

3 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC

Handicap	Minnesota United FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	22%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	16%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.