Thursday , 2 July 2026

New York City FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs Orlando City SCMLS .

Match Details

  • Referee Guido Gonzalez
6 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 2.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Orlando City SC H 5–0 W
01 Mar Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
23 Feb Los Angeles Galaxy A 1–1 D
18 Oct Seattle Sounders FC H 1–2 L
04 Oct Philadelphia Union A 0–1 L
27 Sep New York Red Bulls A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar New York City FC A 0–5 L
02 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 2–4 L
22 Feb New York Red Bulls H 1–2 L
18 Oct Toronto FC A 2–4 L
11 Oct Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 1–2 L
04 Oct Columbus Crew SC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

New York City FC Orlando City SC
#8 Position #13
19 Points 14
15 Played 15
5 / 4 / 6 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 9
25 Scored 23
21 Conceded 44
+4 GD -21
1.27 PPG 0.93
33% Win % 27%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

New York City FC are 8th (19 pts). Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
2/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Orlando City SC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.55 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + New York City FC to win 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC77% Draw14% Orlando City SC9%
Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 4.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
91%
Draw or Orlando City SC
23%
New York City FC or Orlando City SC
86%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC63% Draw28% Orlando City SC9%
Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
7.5%
4 – 1
6.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.6%
4 – 0
6.5%
5 – 1
4.9%
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 2
3.7%
1 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push Orlando City SC covers
-2.5 45% 55%
-2 45% 19% 35%
-1.5 65% 35%
-1 65% 16% 19%
-0.5 81% 19%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
4%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.