Wednesday , 30 September 2026

New York City FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS .

Match Details

  • Referee Guido Gonzalez
6 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 2.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Orlando City SC H 5–0 W
01 Mar Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
23 Feb Los Angeles Galaxy A 1–1 D
18 Oct Seattle Sounders FC H 1–2 L
04 Oct Philadelphia Union A 0–1 L
27 Sep New York Red Bulls A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar New York City FC A 0–5 L
02 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 2–4 L
22 Feb New York Red Bulls H 1–2 L
18 Oct Toronto FC A 2–4 L
11 Oct Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 1–2 L
04 Oct Columbus Crew SC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

New York City FC Orlando City SC
#8 Position #7
33 Points 34
27 Played 27
8 / 9 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 4 / 13
41 Scored 48
36 Conceded 64
+5 GD -16
1.22 PPG 1.26
30% Win % 37%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
19% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

New York City FC are 8th (33 pts). Orlando City SC are 7th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/6
76+
2/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/3
16-30
8/8
31-45
1/7
46-60
8/6
61-75
7/4
76+
9/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 15 G 4 A
Agustin Ojeda 5 G 5 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A
Orlando City SC
Martin Ojeda 13 G 1 A
Antoine Griezmann 8 G 4 A
Tyrese Spicer 6 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. New York City FC kicks off things out of here…
  • New York City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Orlando City SC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.13 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + New York City FC to win 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC73% Draw16% Orlando City SC11%
Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 4.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Orlando City SC
27%
New York City FC or Orlando City SC
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC57% Draw31% Orlando City SC12%
Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
7%
2 – 0
7%
4 – 1
6.2%
1 – 1
5.7%
4 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 0
4.3%
5 – 1
3.9%
4 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push Orlando City SC covers
-2.5 37% — 63%
-2 37% 20% 44%
-1.5 56% — 44%
-1 56% 18% 25%
-0.5 75% — 25%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.