Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nashville SC vs San Jose Earthquakes, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Sun 28 Apr 2024 · 00:30 UTC Fairgrounds Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nashville SC vs San Jose Earthquakes — MLS at Fairgrounds Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Allen Chapman
11 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 9.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr San Jose Earthquakes H 1–1 D
20 Apr Internacional CF Miami A 1–3 L
07 Apr Philadelphia Union H 1–2 L
31 Mar Columbus Crew SC H 2–2 D
24 Mar Los Angeles FC A 0–5 L
17 Mar Charlotte FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Nashville SC A 1–1 D
22 Apr Los Angeles Galaxy A 3–4 L
14 Apr Colorado Rapids SC H 0–3 L
07 Apr Austin FC A 3–4 L
31 Mar Houston Dynamo A 1–2 L
24 Mar Seattle Sounders FC H 3–2 W

Season Stats

Nashville SC San Jose Earthquakes
#1 Position #18
60 Points 45
27 Played 27
18 / 6 / 3 W / D / L 13 / 6 / 8
55 Scored 49
21 Conceded 39
+34 GD +10
2.22 PPG 1.67
67% Win % 48%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
48% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
26% Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season

Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts). San Jose Earthquakes are 18th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/6
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
San Jose Earthquakes
0-15
12/7
16-30
5/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
6/7
61-75
5/2
76+
8/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 16 G 1 A
Hany Mukhtar 13 G 6 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A
San Jose Earthquakes
Preston Judd 15 G 3 A
Timo Werner 6 G 4 A
Ousseni Bouda 6 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.9 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 San Jose Earthquakes xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC51% Draw25% San Jose Earthquakes24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
76%
Draw or San Jose Earthquakes
49%
Nashville SC or San Jose Earthquakes
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC38% Draw43% San Jose Earthquakes19%
Actual: Nashville SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push San Jose Earthquakes covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 22% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.