Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, 2018
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League .
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Satoshi Karakami
- Referee Yoshihito Hayashi
- Referee Ryosuke Yamaoka
- Referee Keigo Sendachi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jul | Jubilo Iwata | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jul | Vegalta Sendai | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jul | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jul | Vegalta Sendai | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Jul | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Jul | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Cerezo Osaka FC gets underway.
- 5' Yasuki Kimoto has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 369 appearances.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' A quiet spell here at . Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Massimo Ficcadenti will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' It looks surprising Cerezo Osaka FC does not make any changes. Riku Matsuda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 50' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 55' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 60' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
- 65' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yoshiki Takahashi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 70' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matej Jonjic suffering a number of foals already.
- 75' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 80' The energy levels are beginning to show. Yoon Junghwan might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 85' Japan international Hotaru Yamaguchi has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 90' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 90.
- 1-0 the final result. Cerezo Osaka FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
-
9
Fernando Torres ↓ Yohei Toyoda 90'
- 5
- 23
- 13
- 3
- 14
- 6
-
4
Riki Harakawa ↓ Kazuki Anzai 84'
- 36
- 44
Bench
- 21
- 18
- 8
-
24
Kazuki Anzai ↑ 84'
- 27
-
11
Yohei Toyoda ↑ 90'
- 33
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 9
- 6
- 2
- 22
- 14
- 11
- 15
- 10
- 7
- 18
Bench
- 27
- 23
- 5
- 26
-
17
Takaki Fukumitsu ↑ 89'
-
13
Toshiyuki Takagi ↑ 85'
-
25
Hirofumi Yamauchi ↑ 75'
Coach
Yoon Junghwan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kato Mutsuki | 3 |
| Bruno Mendes | 3 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | 2 |
| Tokuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
56%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

