FC Tōkyō vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

FC Tōkyō

3 – 3

Full Time

Kashiwa Reysol

Sat 11 May 2024 · 08:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 30' Diego

Y 45' Hiroki Sekine

Go Hatano 45' R

Y 62' Matheus Savio

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tōkyō vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tōkyō 24 games · Avg 3.0 goals Kashiwa Reysol

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-11 FC Tōkyō 3–3 Kashiwa Reysol 2023-07-01 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol 2023-02-26 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 FC Tōkyō 2022-08-27 Kashiwa Reysol 3–6 FC Tōkyō 2022-05-21 FC Tōkyō 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol

Recent Form

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	Kashiwa Reysol	H	3–3	D
06 May	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–1	W
03 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	2–1	W
27 Apr	Albirex Niigata	A	3–1	W
21 Apr	FC Machida Zelvia	H	1–2	L
13 Apr	Tokyo Verdy	A	2–2	D

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	FC Tōkyō	A	3–3	D
06 May	Kashima Antlers	H	1–2	L
03 May	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–2	L
28 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
12 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–0	W
07 Apr	Tokyo Verdy	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

FC Tōkyō		Kashiwa Reysol
#12	Position	#17
37	Points	20
18	Played	18
13 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	7 / 0 / 11
55	Scored	24
42	Conceded	25
+13	GD	-1
2.06	PPG	1.11
72%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

28% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/2

31-45

8/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

4/4

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

3/3

46-60

–/3

61-75

2/2

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Tōkyō launch into their encounter with Kashiwa Reysol.
2' Matheus Savio puts Kashiwa Reysol on the lead.
6' The deadlock is broken! Teruhito Nakagawa gets on the scoresheet on 6 minutes.
11' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
16' Kosuke Kinoshita has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 7 cards already picked up this season.
21' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Tōkyō side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
26' The energy levels are beginning to show. Peter Cklamovski might look to freshen things up shortly.
30' Kashiwa Reysol receives a card for a hard tackle on 30.
32' Diego Oliveira is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
37' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kuryu Matsuki makes it 0-4.
42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
45' That looks like a foul for a card for Hiroki Sekine.
45' Teruhito Nakagawa makes way for Tsuyoshi Kodama at the 45 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Tokyo.
46' What a moment for Tomoya Inukai! That strike on 46 puts his side firmly in control.
46' Sachiro Toshima gets the nod from Kashiwa Reysol. He replaces Takumi Tsuchiya and will look to change the dynamic.
51' Kashif Bangunagande has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 437 appearances.
56' FC Tōkyō currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
58' Magnificent from Takuya Shimamura! That is 4 goals in 369 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
62' Matheus Savio has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 62.
67' Japan international Soma Anzai has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
72' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Kota Tawaratsumida exits the field as Yuto Nagatomo enters on 72.
75' Kashiwa Reysol manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Naoki Kawaguchi is hanging Hiroki Sekine on the field on 75 minute.
78' Another change for Kashiwa Reysol made on 78 minute. Diego leaves to be changed by Yugo Tatsuta.
83' Go Hatano is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kashiwa Reysol so far.
88' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kashiwa Reysol that had 411 games and scored 345 goals.
89' Kazuki Kumasawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takuya Shimamura on 89 minute.
90' The whistle greets Kashif Bangunagande as he departs to be replaced by Jaja Silva.
The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

Starting XI

10
Matheus Savio
13
Tomoya Inukai
4
Taiyo Koga
19
Mao Hosoya
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Kosuke Kinoshita 46'
29
Takuya Shimamura ↓ Kazuki Kumasawa 89'
46
Kenta Matsumoto
3
Diego ↓ Yugo Tatsuta 78'
34
Takumi Tsuchiya ↓ Sachiro Toshima 46'
32
Hiroki Sekine ↓ Naoki Kawaguchi 75'
33
Eiji Shirai

Bench

50
Yugo Tatsuta ↑ 78'
15
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 46'
31
Tatsuya Morita
25
Fumiya Unoki
24
Naoki Kawaguchi ↑ 75'
28
Sachiro Toshima ↑ 46'
48
Kazuki Kumasawa ↑ 89'

Coach Masami Ihara

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adailton	7
Diego Oliveira	4
Mao Hosoya	3
Kuryu Matsuki	3
Ryunosuke Sato	2
Teruhito Nakagawa	2
Tsuyoshi Watanabe	2
Cristiano	2

Head to Head

FC Tōkyō Form

2024-05-11 FC Tōkyō 3–3 Kashiwa Reysol D 2024-05-06 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–2 FC Tōkyō W 2024-05-03 FC Tōkyō 2–1 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2024-04-27 Albirex Niigata 1–3 FC Tōkyō W 2024-04-21 FC Tōkyō 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia L 2024-04-13 Tokyo Verdy 2–2 FC Tōkyō D

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2024-05-11 FC Tōkyō 3–3 Kashiwa Reysol D 2024-05-06 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Kashima Antlers L 2024-05-03 FC Machida Zelvia 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-04-12 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2024-04-07 Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.27 FC Tōkyō xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.55 Kashiwa Reysol xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Tōkyō53% Draw22% Kashiwa Reysol25%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.82

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

FC Tōkyō or Draw

75%

Draw or Kashiwa Reysol

47%

FC Tōkyō or Kashiwa Reysol

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Tōkyō40% Draw38% Kashiwa Reysol22%

Actual: FC Tōkyō win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

8.5%

2 – 1

8.5%

2 – 2

6.5%

3 – 1

6.3%

1 – 2

5.8%

2 – 0

5.7%

3 – 2

4.9%

1 – 0

4.5%

3 – 0

4.2%

4 – 1

3.6%

2 – 3

3.4%

0 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō

Handicap	FC Tōkyō covers	Push	Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	16%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	20%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	13%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.