Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Jul | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Aug | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jul | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Jul | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | FC Tōkyō | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 31 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 46 | Scored | 55 |
| 44 | Conceded | 42 |
| +2 | GD | +13 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
85%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
FC Tōkyō
| Motoki Nagakura | 8 G | 3 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 5 G | 2 A |
| Dani Gomez | 5 G | |
| Soma Anzai | 5 G | |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Nagoya Grampus kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' Japan international Keita Yamashita has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Tokyo backline.
- 35' FC Tokyo fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 37' The referee calls foul for Keita Yamashita. He receives a card.
- 42' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 42 minutes.
- 47' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 52' FC Tokyo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' Marcelo Ryan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keita Yamashita on 56 minute.
- 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tokyo that had 447 games and scored 416 goals.
- 64' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Ryuji Izumi is withdrawn and Yuya Asano gets his opportunity.
- 65' Nagoya Grampus is taking the lead after the goal scored by Yota Sato on 65.
- 70' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 73' Yudai Kimura is replacing Kensuke Nagai for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 74' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Keita Endo is hanging Leon Nozawa on the field on 74 minute.
- 77' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Keigo Higashi has done his job and it is now time for Kanta Doi to step up.
- 82' Goal! Keita Endo scores his 29 goal in 312 matches.
- 87' The travelling FC Tokyo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 90' FC Tokyo receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The points are shared — Nagoya Grampus 1-1 FC Tokyo. Honours even.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yudai Kimura 73'
- 14
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Asano 64'
- 27
- 11
- 3
- 35
-
44
Soichiro Mori ↓ Yuki Nogami 73'
Bench
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 73'
- 16
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 64'
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 73'
- 32
- 20
- 41
- 26
- 30
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 6
-
10
Keigo Higashi ↓ Kanta Doi 77'
- 24
-
14
Keita Yamashita ↓ Marcelo Ryan 56'
- 81
- 33
- 7
-
28
Leon Nozawa ↓ Keita Endo 74'
-
26
Motoki Nagakura ↓ Kein Sato 74'
- 27
Bench
-
22
Keita Endo ↑ 74'
-
40
Marcos Guilherme ↑ 56'
- 13
- 30
- 44
-
19
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 56'
-
32
Kanta Doi ↑ 77'
-
16
Kein Sato ↑ 74'
- 77
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 6 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Kasper Junker | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Keita Endo | 1 |
| Kotaro Omori | 1 |
| Yojiro Takahagi | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.26
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.57
FC Tōkyō xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
58%
Draw or FC Tōkyō
64%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Tōkyō
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 3
5.5%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 4
3.6%
1 – 4
3.2%
0 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | FC Tōkyō covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 10% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 15% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 17% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 13% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.