Thursday , 2 July 2026

NAC Breda vs Fortuna Sittard, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 18:00 UTC Rat Verlegh Stadion 18,437 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kacper Kostorz 85' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

NAC Breda vs Fortuna SittardEredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee J. van der Laan
  • Assistant 1 Rob van de Ven
  • Assistant 2 Frans Ozinga (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Fortuna Sittard H 1–0 W
31 Aug SC Heerenveen A 0–4 L
24 Aug FC Utrecht H 1–2 L
18 Aug AFC Ajax H 2–1 W
09 Aug FC Groningen A 1–4 L
15 May PEC Zwolle H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep NAC Breda A 0–1 L
31 Aug NEC H 0–3 L
16 Aug Almere City FC H 3–0 W
11 Aug Go Ahead Eagles A 2–0 W
19 May Heracles Almelo A 0–0 D
12 May PSV H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against NAC Breda and Fortuna Sittard has kicked off!
  • 5' Mattijs Branderhorst has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Mitchell Dijks is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fortuna Sittard tonight.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. NAC Breda and Fortuna Sittard are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daniel Bielica made 4 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' NAC Breda are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' The travelling Fortuna Sittard supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' Ryan Fosso has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' Samuel Bastien has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ezequiel Bullaude on 46 minute.
  • 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carl Hoefkens will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 56' It’s high time Carl Hoefkens made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 61' It looks like no one’s ball. NAC Breda is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 66' NAC Breda make a change. Leo Sauer trudges off to be replaced by Adam Kaied on 66 minutes.
  • 71' Fortuna Sittard ring the changes. Ante Erceg has done his job and it is now time for Josip Mitrovic to step up.
  • 73' Jan Van den Bergh has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 73.
  • 78' Ryan Fosso has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Fredrik Jensen as he leaves the pitch. Clint Leemans steps in for NAC Breda.
  • 83' The Fortuna Sittard bench stirs into life. Kristoffer Peterson is withdrawn and Jasper Dahlhaus gets his opportunity.
  • 85' The deadlock is broken! Kacper Kostorz gets on the scoresheet on 85 minutes.
  • 89' The Fortuna Sittard manager makes a substitution. Ivo Pinto departs to be replaced by Luka Tunjic.
  • 90' It’s a booking for NAC Breda player. Boy Kemper gets a card.
  • NAC Breda celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16 NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Fortuna Sittard xG
I would bet for: NAC Breda or Fortuna Sittard 70% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
NAC Breda39% Draw30% Fortuna Sittard31%
Actual: NAC Breda win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

NAC Breda or Draw
69%
Draw or Fortuna Sittard
61%
NAC Breda or Fortuna Sittard
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
NAC Breda25% Draw52% Fortuna Sittard23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
2.9%
3 – 0
2.6%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — NAC Breda

Handicap NAC Breda covers Push Fortuna Sittard covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 21% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
35%
Fortuna Sittard keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.