CD Tondela vs FC Porto, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Tondela vs FC Porto — Primeira Liga .
- CD Tondela 32 games · 27 pts (2026/27)
- FC Porto 2 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | CD Santa Clara | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | CS Marítimo | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 2 | 2 |
| 8 | Moreirense FC | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Académico de Viseu FC | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Famalicão | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | GD Estoril Praia | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | FC Alverca | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitória SC | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Rio Ave FC | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | FC Porto | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Nov | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Nov | Vitória SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | AVS | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Oct | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Rio Ave FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | CD Tondela | A | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | GD Estoril Praia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Nov | OGC Nice | H | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Famalicão | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Nov | FC Utrecht | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Nov | Sporting Clube de Braga | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
FC Porto this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Porto
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Porto to claim maximum points.
Lineups
CD Tondela Lineups
FC Porto Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mehdi Taremi | 8 |
| Moussa Marega | 3 |
| Tiquinho Soares | 3 |
| Fabio Vieira | 2 |
| Mario Gonzalez | 2 |
| Rafael Barbosa | 1 |
| Oliver Torres | 1 |
| Toni Martinez | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Tondela Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.85
CD Tondela xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
FC Porto xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Porto win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
CD Tondela or Draw
45%
Draw or FC Porto
81%
CD Tondela or FC Porto
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.6%
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 3
6%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
2.8%
0 – 4
2.5%
Asian Handicap — CD Tondela
| Handicap | CD Tondela covers | Push | FC Porto covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

