Friday , 10 July 2026

Moreirense FC vs CD Tondela, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Moreirense FC vs CD TondelaPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sergio Guelho

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan CD Tondela H 1–0 W
03 Jan AVS A 2–0 W
20 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora A 0–0 D
14 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–4 L
07 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 3–3 D
29 Nov FC Famalicão H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Moreirense FC A 0–1 L
03 Jan FC Arouca H 3–1 W
21 Dec Casa Pia AC H 1–2 L
15 Dec CD Nacional A 1–3 L
07 Dec FC Porto H 0–2 L
29 Nov Gil Vicente FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Moreirense FC CD Tondela
#7 Position #17
43 Points 28
34 Played 34
12 / 7 / 15 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 18
37 Scored 27
49 Conceded 55
-12 GD -28
1.26 PPG 0.82
35% Win % 18%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Moreirense FC are 7th (43 pts). CD Tondela are 17th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

CD Tondela Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Moreirense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 CD Tondela xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Moreirense FC48% Draw28% CD Tondela24%
Actual: Moreirense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Moreirense FC or Draw
76%
Draw or CD Tondela
52%
Moreirense FC or CD Tondela
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Moreirense FC31% Draw50% CD Tondela19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Moreirense FC

Handicap Moreirense FC covers Push CD Tondela covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
39%
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.