Tuesday , 28 July 2026

Moreirense FC vs CD Tondela, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Moreirense FC vs CD TondelaPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sergio Guelho

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan CD Tondela H 1–0 W
03 Jan AVS A 2–0 W
20 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora A 0–0 D
14 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–4 L
07 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 3–3 D
29 Nov FC Famalicão H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Moreirense FC A 0–1 L
03 Jan FC Arouca H 3–1 W
21 Dec Casa Pia AC H 1–2 L
15 Dec CD Nacional A 1–3 L
07 Dec FC Porto H 0–2 L
29 Nov Gil Vicente FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Moreirense FC CD Tondela
#7 Position #17
43 Points 27
33 Played 32
12 / 7 / 14 W / D / L 6 / 9 / 17
36 Scored 25
45 Conceded 51
-9 GD -26
1.30 PPG 0.84
36% Win % 19%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Moreirense FC are 7th (43 pts). CD Tondela are 17th (27 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Moreirense FC and CD Tondela.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Moreirense FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

CD Tondela Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Moreirense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 CD Tondela xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Moreirense FC48% Draw28% CD Tondela24%
Actual: Moreirense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Moreirense FC or Draw
77%
Draw or CD Tondela
52%
Moreirense FC or CD Tondela
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Moreirense FC31% Draw51% CD Tondela18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.4%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Moreirense FC

Handicap Moreirense FC covers Push CD Tondela covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
40%
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.