Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Millwall FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Millwall FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Watford FC
Mon 22 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Watford FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
7 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

6
2
2
Millwall FC 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals Watford FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-22 Millwall FC 1–0 Watford FC 2025-03-08 Watford FC 1–2 Millwall FC 2024-08-10 Millwall FC 2–3 Watford FC 2024-03-02 Millwall FC 1–0 Watford FC 2023-10-28 Watford FC 2–2 Millwall FC

Recent Form

Millwall FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Watford FC H 1–0 W
13 Sep Charlton Athletic FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug Wrexham AFC H 0–2 L
23 Aug Sheffield United FC A 1–0 W
16 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 0–3 L
09 Aug Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
Watford FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Millwall FC A 0–1 L
13 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
30 Aug Southampton FC H 2–2 D
23 Aug Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D
16 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W
09 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Watford FC
#11 Position #20
11 Points 8
8 Played 8
3 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 4
15 Scored 7
15 Conceded 10
+0 GD -3
1.38 PPG 1.00
38% Win % 25%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tom Bradshaw 4
Zian Flemming 3
Mileta Rajovic 2
Duncan Watmore 2
Giorgi Chakvetadze 1
Casper De Norre 1
Ismaila Sarr 1
Josh Coburn 1

Head to Head

2025-09-22 Millwall FC 1–0 Watford FC 2025-03-08 Watford FC 1–2 Millwall FC 2024-08-10 Millwall FC 2–3 Watford FC 2024-03-02 Millwall FC 1–0 Watford FC 2023-10-28 Watford FC 2–2 Millwall FC

Millwall FC Form

2025-09-22 Millwall FC 1–0 Watford FC W 2025-09-13 Charlton Athletic FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2025-08-30 Millwall FC 0–2 Wrexham AFC L 2025-08-23 Sheffield United FC 0–1 Millwall FC W 2025-08-16 Millwall FC 0–3 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-08-09 Norwich City FC 1–2 Millwall FC W

Watford FC Form

2025-09-22 Millwall FC 1–0 Watford FC L 2025-09-13 Watford FC 0–1 Blackburn Rovers FC L 2025-08-30 Watford FC 2–2 Southampton FC D 2025-08-23 Swansea City AFC 1–1 Watford FC D 2025-08-16 Watford FC 2–1 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2025-08-09 Charlton Athletic FC 1–0 Watford FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC50% Draw27% Watford FC23%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Watford FC
50%
Millwall FC or Watford FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC32% Draw48% Watford FC20%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.