Millwall FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Millwall FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Watford FC

Mon 22 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Watford FC — Championship .

Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Joshua Smith

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Millwall FC 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-22 Millwall FC 1–0 Watford FC 2025-03-08 Watford FC 1–2 Millwall FC 2024-08-10 Millwall FC 2–3 Watford FC 2024-03-02 Millwall FC 1–0 Watford FC 2023-10-28 Watford FC 2–2 Millwall FC

Recent Form

Millwall FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Sep	Watford FC	H	1–0	W
13 Sep	Charlton Athletic FC	A	1–1	D
30 Aug	Wrexham AFC	H	0–2	L
23 Aug	Sheffield United FC	A	1–0	W
16 Aug	Middlesbrough FC	H	0–3	L
09 Aug	Norwich City FC	A	2–1	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Sep	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
13 Sep	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	0–1	L
30 Aug	Southampton FC	H	2–2	D
23 Aug	Swansea City AFC	A	1–1	D
16 Aug	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	2–1	W
09 Aug	Charlton Athletic FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Millwall FC		Watford FC
#3	Position	#16
83	Points	57
46	Played	46
24 / 11 / 11	W / D / L	14 / 15 / 17
64	Scored	53
49	Conceded	65
+15	GD	-12
1.80	PPG	1.24
52%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Millwall FC and Watford FC has kicked off!
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Watford FC.

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tom Bradshaw	4
Zian Flemming	3
Mileta Rajovic	2
Duncan Watmore	2
Andreas Voglsammer	1
Wes Harding	1
Yaser Asprilla	1
Edo Kayembe	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.42 Millwall FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Millwall FC50% Draw27% Watford FC23%

Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.38

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Watford FC

50%

Millwall FC or Watford FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Millwall FC32% Draw50% Watford FC18%

Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.5%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

11.4%

2 – 0

2 – 1

8.7%

0 – 1

7.7%

1 – 2

5.8%

2 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

4.2%

3 – 1

4.1%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap	Millwall FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	23%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.