Sunday , 15 November 2026

Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 21 Oct 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
18 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W
04 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–0 W
01 Oct Coventry City FC H 0–4 L
27 Sep Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D
22 Sep Watford FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Millwall FC A 0–2 L
18 Oct Wrexham AFC H 1–0 W
04 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Middlesbrough FC A 0–0 D
27 Sep Norwich City FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Stoke City FC
#16 Position #3
18 Points 29
15 Played 15
5 / 3 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 2 / 4
23 Scored 24
27 Conceded 18
-4 GD +6
1.20 PPG 1.93
33% Win % 60%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
19% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 5 G 2 A
Camiel Neghli 3 G 3 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Stoke City FC
Jack McGlynn 5 G 2 A
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 4 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC46% Draw27% Stoke City FC27%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Stoke City FC
54%
Millwall FC or Stoke City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC29% Draw49% Stoke City FC22%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.