Saturday , 14 November 2026

Millwall FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 23 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC The Den 13,954 HT 45' · FT 45'
Romain Esse 13' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC — Championship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 13.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
19 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
01 Oct Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
28 Sep Preston North End FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Millwall FC A 0–1 L
19 Oct Cardiff City FC A 0–5 L
05 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–1 W
01 Oct Burnley FC A 0–1 L
27 Sep Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 5 G 2 A
Camiel Neghli 3 G 3 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Millwall FC have kicked off against Plymouth Argyle FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Plymouth Argyle FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 8' The referee calls foul for George Honeyman. He receives a card.
  • 13' Romain Esse has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 13 minutes.
  • 18' A quiet spell here at The Den. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 23' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 28' Plymouth Argyle FC is showing some good football. However, Plymouth Argyle FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 33' George Honeyman is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
  • 38' Millwall FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 38.
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Femi Azeez.
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 55' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 59' Millwall FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Plymouth Argyle FC — Andre Gray on, Ryan Hardie off on 62 minutes.
  • 63' Kornel Szucs picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 68' Michael Obafemi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 70' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Femi Azeez exits the field as Ryan Wintle enters on 70.
  • 75' Plymouth Argyle FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 76' The referee calls foul for Jake Cooper. He receives a card.
  • 78' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Mihailo Ivanovic by Macaulay Langstaff on 78 minute.
  • 80' Plymouth Argyle FC ring the changes. Darko Gyabi has done his job and it is now time for Michael Obafemi to step up.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Romain Esse is replaced by Dan McNamara on 84 minute.
  • 85' The referee shows Millwall FC player a card on 85.
  • 90' Millwall FC have won 421 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • With this win, Millwall FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC58% Draw27% Plymouth Argyle FC15%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Plymouth Argyle FC
42%
Millwall FC or Plymouth Argyle FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC38% Draw51% Plymouth Argyle FC11%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.3%
2 – 0
13%
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
3.3%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.4%
0 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Plymouth Argyle FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 18% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 27% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
54% ✓
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.