Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2018-19

Melbourne Victory FC

3 – 3

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Sun 20 Jan 2019 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Ola Toivonen 34' Y

Y 40' David Williams

Corey Brown 59' Y

Y 81' Tom Doyle

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jarred Gillett
Referee Kurt Ams
Referee Daniel Illievski
Referee Lachlan Keevers
Referee George Lakrindis

4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2019-01-20 Melbourne Victory FC 3–3 Wellington Phoenix FC 2018-12-28 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	3–3	D
15 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	A	5–0	W
12 Jan	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	2–1	W
09 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	0–2	L
05 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–1	W
28 Dec	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–1	D

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jan	Melbourne Victory FC	A	3–3	D
12 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	3–2	W
08 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	3–2	W
05 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	0–0	D
28 Dec	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
22 Dec	Brisbane Roar FC	H	4–1	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Wellington Phoenix FC
#4	Position	#8
40	Points	33
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
44	Scored	36
33	Conceded	48
+11	GD	-12
1.54	PPG	1.27
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at AAMI Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC.
5' The deadlock is broken! Ola Toivonen gets on the scoresheet on 5 minutes.
7' GOAL! David Williams scores on 7. Assisted by Louis Fenton
12' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
17' The travelling Wellington Phoenix FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
20' Wellington Phoenix FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Roy Krishna on 20.
25' James Troisi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
28' Roy Krishna adds to his 0 season tally! Wellington Phoenix FC lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
33' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
34' Controversy at the stadium! Ola Toivonen argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
39' Melbourne Victory FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
40' Wellington Phoenix FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 40.
45' Melbourne Victory FC have won 299 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
46' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Raul Baena on, Josh Hope off on 46 minutes.
51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
56' James Troisi makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and Melbourne Victory FC are in front.
59' A moment of madness from Corey Brown on 59 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Melbourne Victory FC will be frustrated.
62' The crowd applauds David Williams as he leaves the pitch. Cillian Sheridan steps in for Wellington Phoenix FC.
67' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
69' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Elvis Kamsoba is hanging Corey Brown on the field on 69 minute.
74' The 34-year-old Lawrence Thomas has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
79' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
80' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 80 minute. Ola Toivonen leaves to be changed by Kenjok Athiu.
81' Tom Doyle is having his name booked by the referee on 81.
84' The whistle greets Tom Doyle as he departs to be replaced by Dylan Fox.
85' Michal Kopczynski gets the nod from Wellington Phoenix FC. He replaces Mandi and will look to change the dynamic.
88' Kosta Barbarouses does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
The points are shared — Melbourne Victory FC 3-3 Wellington Phoenix FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1
Matt Acton
7
Kenny Athiu ↑ 80'
15
Raul Baena ↑ 46'
19
Rahmat Akbari
24
Elvis Kamsoba ↑ 69'

Coach Kevin Muscat

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

22
Andrew Durante C
19
Tom Doyle ↓ Dylan Fox 84'
14
Alex Rufer
18
Sarpreet Singh
13
Liberato Cacace
21
Roy Krishna
27
Steven Taylor
1
Filip Kurto
11
David Williams ↓ Cillian Sheridan 62'
16
Louis Fenton ↓ Dylan Fox 84'
4
Mandi ↓ Michal Kopczynski 85'

Bench

20
Oliver Sail
6
Dylan Fox ↑ 84'
15
Michal Kopczynski ↑ 85'
7
Cillian Sheridan ↑ 62'
23
Max Burgess

Coach Marko Rudan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Oskar Zawada	4
Roy Krishna	4
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
David Ball	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.29 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.61 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC49% Draw23% Wellington Phoenix FC28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.9

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

72%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

51%

Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC40% Draw38% Wellington Phoenix FC22%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

8.3%

1 – 1

8.3%

2 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

6.3%

1 – 2

5.9%

2 – 0

5.4%

3 – 2

1 – 0

4.2%

3 – 0

4 – 1

3.6%

2 – 3

3.5%

0 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	16%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	20%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	14%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Clean Sheet