Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2019-20

Adelaide United FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 23 Nov 2019 · 08:30 UTC Coopers Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 4' Ola Toivonen

Ryan Strain 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Coopers Stadium.

Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Matthew Cream
Referee Kurt Ams
Referee Lachlan Keevers
Referee Paul Cetrangolo
Referee Alireza Faghani

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Adelaide United FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2019-11-23 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-04-19 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-01-09 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2018-12-08 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC 2018-04-22 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC

Recent Form

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	H	3–1	W
16 Nov	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	3–1	W
10 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–0	W
26 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	2–1	W
20 Oct	Melbourne City FC	A	1–2	L
11 Oct	Sydney FC	H	2–3	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	Adelaide United FC	A	1–3	L
17 Nov	Sydney FC	A	1–2	L
10 Nov	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–1	D
02 Nov	Western United FC	H	2–3	L
25 Oct	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–0	W
18 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#2	Position	#4
43	Points	40
26	Played	26
12 / 7 / 7	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
46	Scored	44
36	Conceded	33
+10	GD	+11
1.65	PPG	1.54
46%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/–

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Adelaide United FC

Luka Jovanovic	11 G	3 A
Johnny Yull	4 G	5 A
Ethan Alagich	4 G	4 A
Ryan Kitto	3 G	1 A

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Adelaide United FC host Melbourne Victory FC — let the battle begin!
4' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ola Toivonen on 4.
9' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
14' Andrew Nabbout is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Adelaide United FC so far.
19' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tim Hoogland made 334 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
23' GOAL! Riley McGree fires home to make it 1-0!
28' Adelaide United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
33' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brandon Lauton, as he is very good at scoring at Coopers Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
38' Lawrence Thomas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
43' James Troisi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
46' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Brandon Lauton is withdrawn and Elvis Kamsoba gets his opportunity.
51' Melbourne Victory FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
54' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Adama Traore by Robbie Kruse on 54 minute.
59' Melbourne Victory FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
61' Ola Toivonen is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
63' The deadlock is broken! Migjen Basha gets on the scoresheet on 63 minutes.
64' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Tim Hoogland comes on to replace Storm Roux.
68' Riley McGree does the damage! The net is bulging and Adelaide United FC surge ahead!
73' Adelaide United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne Victory FC's shape.
77' Another substitution for Adelaide United FC to replace George Blackwood by Al Hassan Toure on 77 minute.
82' The whistle greets Nikola Mileusnic as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Kitto.
85' Ryan Strain picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
90' Melbourne Victory FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Michael Maria
10
James Troisi
22
Michael Jakobsen C
20
Paul Izzo
2
Michael Marrone
4
Ryan Strain
27
Louis D'Arrigo
17
Nikola Mileusnic ↓ Ryan Kitto 82'
14
George Blackwood ↓ Al Hassan Toure 77'
8
Riley McGree
11
Kristian Opseth

Bench

Coach Gertjan Verbeek

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Kurz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Marco Rojas	4
Craig Goodwin	4
Stefan Mauk	3
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Riley McGree	2
Nikolaos Vergos	2

Head to Head

Adelaide United FC Form

2019-11-23 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC W 2019-11-16 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–3 Adelaide United FC W 2019-11-10 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2019-10-26 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2019-10-20 Melbourne City FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2019-10-11 Adelaide United FC 2–3 Sydney FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2019-11-23 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2019-11-17 Sydney FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2019-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2019-11-02 Melbourne Victory FC 2–3 Western United FC L 2019-10-25 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC W 2019-10-18 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.84 Adelaide United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Adelaide United FC52% Draw24% Melbourne Victory FC24%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.16

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

48%

Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Adelaide United FC36% Draw43% Melbourne Victory FC21%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

2 – 1

9.1%

2 – 0

7.1%

1 – 0

7.1%

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 2

0 – 0

5.9%

3 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

4.9%

3 – 0

4.3%

3 – 2

3.7%

0 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap	Adelaide United FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	21%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	15%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.