Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2019-20

Adelaide United FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 23 Nov 2019 · 08:30 UTC Coopers Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 4' Ola Toivonen

Ryan Strain 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Coopers Stadium.

Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Matthew Cream
Referee Kurt Ams
Referee Lachlan Keevers
Referee Paul Cetrangolo
Referee Alireza Faghani

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Adelaide United FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2019-11-23 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-04-19 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-01-09 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2018-12-08 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC 2018-04-22 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC

Recent Form

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	H	3–1	W
16 Nov	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	3–1	W
10 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–0	W
26 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	2–1	W
20 Oct	Melbourne City FC	A	1–2	L
11 Oct	Sydney FC	H	2–3	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	Adelaide United FC	A	1–3	L
17 Nov	Sydney FC	A	1–2	L
10 Nov	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–1	D
02 Nov	Western United FC	H	2–3	L
25 Oct	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–0	W
18 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#2	Position	#4
43	Points	40
26	Played	26
12 / 7 / 7	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
46	Scored	44
36	Conceded	33
+10	GD	+11
1.65	PPG	1.54
46%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/–

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Adelaide United FC

Luka Jovanovic	11 G	3 A
Johnny Yull	4 G	5 A
Ethan Alagich	4 G	4 A
Ryan Kitto	3 G	1 A

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Coopers Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC.
4' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Ola Toivonen gets a Yellow card.
9' Over 9 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
14' The 39-year-old Michael Marrone has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
19' Adelaide United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne Victory FC's shape.
23' The deadlock is broken! Riley McGree gets on the scoresheet on 23 minutes.
28' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
33' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Kurz might look to freshen things up shortly.
38' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
43' With 0 assists to his name this season, Storm Roux is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Adelaide United FC.
46' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Elvis Kamsoba is hanging Brandon Lauton on the field on 46 minute.
51' Corey Brown is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
54' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Robbie Kruse is hanging Adama Traore on the field on 54 minute.
59' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
61' What an equalizer from Ola Toivonen!
63' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Migjen Basha makes it 1-2.
64' Tim Hoogland is replacing Storm Roux for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
68' Riley McGree doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
73' A quiet spell here at Coopers Stadium. Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
77' The Adelaide United FC manager makes a substitution. George Blackwood departs to be replaced by Al Hassan Toure.
82' It is a substitution in Adelaide United FC team. Nikola Mileusnic is replaced by Ryan Kitto on 82 minute.
85' Ryan Strain is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
90' Ryan Strain has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Adelaide United FC players.

Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Michael Maria
10
James Troisi
22
Michael Jakobsen C
20
Paul Izzo
2
Michael Marrone
4
Ryan Strain
27
Louis D'Arrigo
17
Nikola Mileusnic ↓ Ryan Kitto 82'
14
George Blackwood ↓ Al Hassan Toure 77'
8
Riley McGree
11
Kristian Opseth

Bench

Coach Gertjan Verbeek

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Kurz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Marco Rojas	4
Craig Goodwin	4
Stefan Mauk	3
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Leroy George	2
Daniel Arzani	2

Head to Head

Adelaide United FC Form

2019-11-23 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC W 2019-11-16 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–3 Adelaide United FC W 2019-11-10 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2019-10-26 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2019-10-20 Melbourne City FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2019-10-11 Adelaide United FC 2–3 Sydney FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2019-11-23 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2019-11-17 Sydney FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2019-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2019-11-02 Melbourne Victory FC 2–3 Western United FC L 2019-10-25 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC W 2019-10-18 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.84 Adelaide United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Adelaide United FC52% Draw24% Melbourne Victory FC24%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.16

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

48%

Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Adelaide United FC36% Draw43% Melbourne Victory FC21%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

2 – 1

9.1%

2 – 0

7.1%

1 – 0

7.1%

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 2

0 – 0

5.9%

3 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

4.9%

3 – 0

4.3%

3 – 2

3.7%

0 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap	Adelaide United FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	21%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	15%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.