Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2019-20

Melbourne Victory FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Sat 29 Feb 2020 · 08:30 UTC Marvel Stadium HT 45+1' · FT 45+3'

Ola Toivonen 14' Y

Lawrence Thomas 33' Y

Leigh Broxham 51' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at Marvel Stadium.

Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Adelaide United FC 3 games · 1 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Chris Beath
Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
Referee Ashley Beecham
Referee Jack Morgan
Referee George Lakrindis

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 25 games · Avg 2.8 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-02-29 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC 2020-01-17 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-11-23 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-04-19 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-01-09 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	2–1	W
22 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–1	D
07 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	1–2	L
01 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	2–2	D
24 Jan	Sydney FC	H	0–3	L
17 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	0–1	L

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–2	L
21 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–5	L
14 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	2–0	W
08 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–2	L
01 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	3–1	W
26 Jan	Western United FC	A	4–3	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Adelaide United FC
#9	Position	#12
3	Points	1
4	Played	3
0 / 3 / 1	W / D / L	0 / 1 / 2
5	Scored	3
6	Conceded	8
-1	GD	-5
0.75	PPG	0.33
0%	Win %	0%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts). Adelaide United FC are 12th (1 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/4

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Keegan Jelacic	2 G
Jordi Valadon	2 G
Charles Nduka	1 G	2 A

Adelaide United FC

Brody Burkitt	2 G
Joey Garuccio	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Marvel Stadium that hosts another battle between Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC.
5' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
7' A goal from the Norway international Kristian Opseth! He fires home on 7 to make it 0-1!
12' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
14' Poor challenge from Ola Toivonen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
19' Melbourne Victory FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
24' George Blackwood, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
33' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 33.
38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lawrence Thomas suffering a number of foals already.
43' The 33-year-old James Donachie has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
46' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Brandon Lauton is hanging Adama Traore on the field on 46 minute.
51' That is a Yellow card for Melbourne Victory FC. Leigh Broxham will be fuming at that decision.
56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
57' The deadlock is broken! Marco Rojas gets on the scoresheet on 57 minutes.
58' Leigh Broxham makes way for Anthony Lesiotis at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
63' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
68' Michael Maria has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 236 appearances.
69' Another substitution for Adelaide United FC to replace Kristian Opseth by Kusini Yengi on 69 minute.
74' Adelaide United FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Joey Garuccio scoring 1 goals.
78' Mohamed Toure has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nikola Mileusnic on 78 minute.
83' Adelaide United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
88' Kenny Athiu is replacing Elvis Kamsoba for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Melbourne Victory FC 2-1 Adelaide United FC.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlos Salvachua

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Ryan Kitto
31
Mirko Boland ↑ 46'
29
Yengi Kusini ↑ 69'
40
Dakota Ochsenham
49
Mohamed Toure ↑ 78'

Coach Gertjan Verbeek

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Marco Rojas	4
Craig Goodwin	4
Stefan Mauk	3
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Nestor Irankunda	2
George Blackwood	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2020-02-29 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC W 2020-02-22 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2020-02-07 Melbourne City FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2020-02-01 Perth Glory FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC D 2020-01-24 Melbourne Victory FC 0–3 Sydney FC L 2020-01-17 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L

Adelaide United FC Form

2020-02-29 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2020-02-21 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 5–2 Adelaide United FC L 2020-02-14 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2020-02-08 Brisbane Roar FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2020-02-01 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Melbourne City FC W 2020-01-26 Western United FC 3–4 Adelaide United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.17 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.39 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC51% Draw24% Adelaide United FC25%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.56

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

49%

Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC40% Draw39% Adelaide United FC21%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.4%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

6.8%

3 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

6.2%

1 – 2

5.8%

1 – 0

5.7%

3 – 0

4.8%

3 – 2

4.5%

0 – 0

4.2%

4 – 1

3.5%

0 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	16%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	21%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.