Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2019-20

Melbourne Victory FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Sat 29 Feb 2020 · 08:30 UTC Marvel Stadium HT 45+1' · FT 45+3'

Ola Toivonen 14' Y

Lawrence Thomas 33' Y

Leigh Broxham 51' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at Marvel Stadium.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Chris Beath
Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
Referee Ashley Beecham
Referee Jack Morgan
Referee George Lakrindis

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-02-29 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC 2020-01-17 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-11-23 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-04-19 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-01-09 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	2–1	W
22 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–1	D
07 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	1–2	L
01 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	2–2	D
24 Jan	Sydney FC	H	0–3	L
17 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	0–1	L

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–2	L
21 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–5	L
14 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	2–0	W
08 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–2	L
01 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	3–1	W
26 Jan	Western United FC	A	4–3	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Adelaide United FC
#4	Position	#2
40	Points	43
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 7
44	Scored	46
33	Conceded	36
+11	GD	+10
1.54	PPG	1.65
42%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Marvel Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC.
5' Adelaide United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
7' Kristian Opseth makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Adelaide United FC are in front.
12' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
14' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ola Toivonen on 14 minutes.
19' Adelaide United FC is showing some good football. However, Adelaide United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
24' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gertjan Verbeek might look to freshen things up shortly.
33' Controversy at the stadium! Lawrence Thomas argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
38' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Giancarlo Gallifuoco has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
43' Adelaide United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
46' Adama Traore makes way for Brandon Lauton at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
51' Poor challenge from Leigh Broxham. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
56' James Troisi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
57' A goal from the New Zealand international Marco Rojas! He fires home on 57 to make it 1-1!
58' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Leigh Broxham has done his job and it is now time for Anthony Lesiotis to step up.
63' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
68' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Adelaide United FC backline.
69' Kusini Yengi gets the nod from Adelaide United FC. He replaces Kristian Opseth and will look to change the dynamic.
74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
78' Adelaide United FC make a change. Nikola Mileusnic trudges off to be replaced by Mohamed Toure on 78 minutes.
83' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Adelaide United FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
88' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Elvis Kamsoba by Kenny Athiu on 88 minute.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Melbourne Victory FC players.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlos Salvachua

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Ryan Kitto
31
Mirko Boland ↑ 46'
29
Yengi Kusini ↑ 69'
40
Dakota Ochsenham
49
Mohamed Toure ↑ 78'

Coach Gertjan Verbeek

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Marco Rojas	4
Craig Goodwin	4
Stefan Mauk	3
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Ola Toivonen	2
Leroy George	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2020-02-29 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC W 2020-02-22 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2020-02-07 Melbourne City FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2020-02-01 Perth Glory FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC D 2020-01-24 Melbourne Victory FC 0–3 Sydney FC L 2020-01-17 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L

Adelaide United FC Form

2020-02-29 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2020-02-21 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 5–2 Adelaide United FC L 2020-02-14 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2020-02-08 Brisbane Roar FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2020-02-01 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Melbourne City FC W 2020-01-26 Western United FC 3–4 Adelaide United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.75 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.63 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC41% Draw25% Adelaide United FC34%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

67%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

59%

Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC31% Draw42% Adelaide United FC27%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.6%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.6%

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 0

5.3%

2 – 0

5.2%

0 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.9%

3 – 1

4.8%

0 – 2

4.5%

1 – 3

4.1%

3 – 2

3.9%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	19%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	17%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.