Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2019-20

Melbourne Victory FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Sat 29 Feb 2020 · 08:30 UTC Marvel Stadium HT 45+1' · FT 45+3'

Ola Toivonen 14' Y

Lawrence Thomas 33' Y

Leigh Broxham 51' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at Marvel Stadium.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Chris Beath
Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
Referee Ashley Beecham
Referee Jack Morgan
Referee George Lakrindis

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-02-29 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC 2020-01-17 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-11-23 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-04-19 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-01-09 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	2–1	W
22 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–1	D
07 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	1–2	L
01 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	2–2	D
24 Jan	Sydney FC	H	0–3	L
17 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	0–1	L

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–2	L
21 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–5	L
14 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	2–0	W
08 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–2	L
01 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	3–1	W
26 Jan	Western United FC	A	4–3	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Adelaide United FC
#4	Position	#2
40	Points	43
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 7
44	Scored	46
33	Conceded	36
+11	GD	+10
1.54	PPG	1.65
42%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/–

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Adelaide United FC

Luka Jovanovic	11 G	3 A
Johnny Yull	4 G	5 A
Ethan Alagich	4 G	4 A
Ryan Kitto	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Melbourne Victory FC welcome Adelaide United FC for this crunch clash at Marvel Stadium.
5' Paul Izzo, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
7' Goal! Kristian Opseth scores his 6 goal in 233 matches.
12' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Michael Marrone suffering a number of foals already.
14' Ola Toivonen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 14.
19' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
24' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Adelaide United FC backline.
29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
33' Lawrence Thomas picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
38' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlos Salvachua might look to freshen things up shortly.
43' Michael Jakobsen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 233 appearances.
46' Brandon Lauton gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Adama Traore and will look to change the dynamic.
51' Leigh Broxham was booked on 51.
56' It’s high time Carlos Salvachua made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
57' Marco Rojas doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
58' Anthony Lesiotis is replacing Leigh Broxham for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
63' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
68' Louis D'Arrigo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Melbourne Victory FC so far.
69' The Adelaide United FC manager makes a substitution. Kristian Opseth departs to be replaced by Kusini Yengi.
74' It looks like no one’s ball. Adelaide United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
78' Time for substitution for Adelaide United FC. Nikola Mileusnic is replaced by Mohamed Toure.
83' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
88' The whistle greets Elvis Kamsoba as he departs to be replaced by Kenny Athiu.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Melbourne Victory FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlos Salvachua

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Ryan Kitto
31
Mirko Boland ↑ 46'
29
Kusini Yengi ↑ 69'
40
Dakota Ochsenham
49
Mohamed Toure ↑ 78'

Coach Gertjan Verbeek

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Craig Goodwin	4
Marco Rojas	4
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Stefan Mauk	3
Besart Berisha	3
Leroy George	2
Daniel Arzani	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2020-02-29 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC W 2020-02-22 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2020-02-07 Melbourne City FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2020-02-01 Perth Glory FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC D 2020-01-24 Melbourne Victory FC 0–3 Sydney FC L 2020-01-17 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L

Adelaide United FC Form

2020-02-29 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2020-02-21 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 5–2 Adelaide United FC L 2020-02-14 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2020-02-08 Brisbane Roar FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2020-02-01 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Melbourne City FC W 2020-01-26 Western United FC 3–4 Adelaide United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.75 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.63 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC41% Draw25% Adelaide United FC34%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

67%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

59%

Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC31% Draw42% Adelaide United FC27%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.6%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.6%

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 0

5.3%

2 – 0

5.2%

0 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.9%

3 – 1

4.8%

0 – 2

4.5%

1 – 3

4.1%

3 – 2

3.9%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	19%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	17%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.