Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Kersey
  • Referee Lachlan Keevers

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Central Coast Mariners FC H 1–0 W
29 Mar Sydney FC A 3–2 W
12 Mar Newcastle United Jets FC H 0–1 L
07 Mar Macarthur FC H 2–0 W
28 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–0 W
22 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Melbourne City FC A 0–1 L
30 Mar Perth Glory FC H 3–1 W
16 Mar Auckland FC A 2–2 D
08 Mar Melbourne Victory FC A 0–3 L
28 Feb Western United FC H 1–3 L
22 Feb Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 0–4 L

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC Central Coast Mariners FC
#6 Position #9
38 Points 32
26 Played 26
10 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 10
33 Scored 35
33 Conceded 42
+0 GD -7
1.46 PPG 1.23
38% Win % 31%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Central Coast Mariners FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC51% Draw26% Central Coast Mariners FC23%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC
49%
Melbourne City FC or Central Coast Mariners FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne City FC34% Draw47% Central Coast Mariners FC19%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.