Sunday , 16 August 2026

Manchester United FC vs AC Milan, Europe 2020-21 ROUND OF 16

UEFA Europa League · 2020-21
Thu 11 Mar 2021 · 17:55 UTC Old Trafford HT 45+4' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs AC MilanEurope at Old Trafford.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Matej Jug
  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Referee Tomaz Klancnik
  • Referee Andraz Kovacic
  • Referee Jure Praprotnik

Head-to-Head

1
1
Manchester United FC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals AC Milan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar AC Milan H 1–1 D
07 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–0 W
03 Mar Crystal Palace FC A 0–0 D
28 Feb Chelsea FC A 0–0 D
25 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 0–0 D
21 Feb Newcastle United FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
07 Mar Hellas Verona FC A 2–0 W
03 Mar Udinese Calcio H 1–1 D
28 Feb AS Roma A 2–1 W
25 Feb FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–1 D
21 Feb FC Internazionale Milano H 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Old Trafford that hosts another battle between Manchester United FC and AC Milan.
  • 5' Gianluigi Donnarumma has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Manchester United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
  • 11' Franck Kessie adds to his 1 season tally! AC Milan lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 16' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Manchester United FC and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 18' Alexis Saelemaekers picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 19' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 19.
  • 24' Rafael Leao has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 29' Manchester United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
  • 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stefano Pioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' Scott McTominay is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
  • 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' Amad Diallo gets the nod from Manchester United FC. He replaces Anthony Martial and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 50' GOAL! Amad Diallo scores on 50.
  • 55' Scott McTominay has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 55.
  • 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pierre Kalulu suffering a number of foals already.
  • 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 69' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Alexis Saelemaekers is replaced by Samu Castillejo on 69 minute.
  • 74' Luke Shaw is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel James at the 74 minute mark.
  • 79' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 84' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 89' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Manchester United FC or AC Milan 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester United FC39% Draw30% AC Milan31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
69%
Draw or AC Milan
61%
Manchester United FC or AC Milan
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC25% Draw52% AC Milan23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
34%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.