Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Fri 5 Dec 2025 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Alex King
  • Referee Hugh Fenton-White (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec Melbourne Victory FC H 0–0 D
30 Nov Perth Glory FC H 0–2 L
22 Nov Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–0 W
09 Nov Sydney FC A 0–2 L
01 Nov Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
27 Oct Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec Macarthur FC A 0–0 D
28 Nov Brisbane Roar FC A 0–1 L
22 Nov Sydney FC A 0–3 L
08 Nov Melbourne City FC H 0–2 L
31 Oct Perth Glory FC A 2–0 W
24 Oct Newcastle United Jets FC A 2–5 L

Season Stats

Macarthur FC Melbourne Victory FC
#7 Position #4
34 Points 40
26 Played 26
9 / 7 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
37 Scored 44
44 Conceded 33
-7 GD +11
1.31 PPG 1.54
35% Win % 42%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Macarthur FC are 7th (34 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Macarthur FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 Macarthur FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Macarthur FC or Melbourne Victory FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Macarthur FC35% Draw28% Melbourne Victory FC37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Macarthur FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
65%
Macarthur FC or Melbourne Victory FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Macarthur FC23% Draw48% Melbourne Victory FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Macarthur FC

Handicap Macarthur FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 21% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✗
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.