Luton Town FC vs Cardiff City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Luton Town FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Cardiff City FC

Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Cardiff City FC — League One .

Luton Town FC 14 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Cardiff City FC 46 games · 91 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Martin Coy

6 games this season 🟨 2.2/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Huddersfield Town AFC	14	29
2	Stockport County FC	15	29
3	Oxford United FC	13	26
4	Luton Town FC	14	24
5	Sheffield Wednesday FC	14	23
6	Plymouth Argyle FC	15	23
7	Reading FC	15	22
8	Bradford City AFC	13	22
9	Milton Keynes Dons FC	14	21
10	Cambridge United FC	14	21
11	Leicester City FC	13	19
12	Mansfield Town FC	13	19
13	Wycombe Wanderers FC	13	18
14	Leyton Orient FC	13	17
15	Burton Albion FC	15	17
16	Stevenage FC	12	16
17	AFC Wimbledon	14	16
18	Notts County FC	12	14
19	Wigan Athletic FC	15	14
20	Blackpool FC	13	12
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	13	12
22	Peterborough United FC	13	10
23	Barnsley FC	13	9
24	Bromley FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Luton Town FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Cardiff City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-23 Luton Town FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC 2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC 2024-11-06 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2022-08-30 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	Cardiff City FC	H	0–1	L
19 Aug	Wigan Athletic FC	H	1–0	W
16 Aug	Bradford City AFC	A	1–2	L
09 Aug	Peterborough United FC	A	2–0	W
01 Aug	AFC Wimbledon	H	1–0	W
03 May	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	3–5	L

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	Luton Town FC	A	1–0	W
19 Aug	AFC Wimbledon	A	1–0	W
16 Aug	Rotherham United FC	H	3–0	W
07 Aug	Port Vale FC	A	0–0	D
02 Aug	Peterborough United FC	H	2–1	W
03 May	Norwich City FC	A	2–4	L

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Luton Town FC

0-15

3/2

16-30

3/4

31-45

5/5

46-60

5/4

61-75

4/2

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Luton Town FC

Nahki Wells	7 G	2 A
Jamie Donley	4 G	3 A
Callum Marshall	4 G
Kasey Palmer	3 G	4 A
Jake Richards	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Luton Town FC get us underway at .
With this win, Cardiff City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jordan Clark	2
Luke Freeman	2
Sean Morrison	2
Thelo Aasgaard	1
Will Vaulks	1
Rubin Colwill	1
Isaac Vassell	1
Aden Flint	1

Head to Head

Luton Town FC Form

2025-08-23 Luton Town FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC L 2025-08-19 Luton Town FC 1–0 Wigan Athletic FC W 2025-08-16 Bradford City AFC 2–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-08-09 Peterborough United FC 0–2 Luton Town FC W 2025-08-01 Luton Town FC 1–0 AFC Wimbledon W 2025-05-03 West Bromwich Albion FC 5–3 Luton Town FC L

Cardiff City FC Form

2025-08-23 Luton Town FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC W 2025-08-19 AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Cardiff City FC W 2025-08-16 Cardiff City FC 3–0 Rotherham United FC W 2025-08-07 Port Vale FC 0–0 Cardiff City FC D 2025-08-02 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Peterborough United FC W 2025-05-03 Norwich City FC 4–2 Cardiff City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.08 Luton Town FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.87 Cardiff City FC xG

I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Luton Town FC39% Draw33% Cardiff City FC28%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 1.95

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	83%	17%
± 1.5	58%	42%
± 2.5	31%	69%
± 3.5	14%	86%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw

72%

Draw or Cardiff City FC

61%

Luton Town FC or Cardiff City FC

67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Luton Town FC26% Draw55% Cardiff City FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

16.7%

1 – 1

14.3%

1 – 0

14.1%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

2 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

5.6%

0 – 2

2 – 2

3.2%

3 – 0

2.8%

3 – 1

2.6%

1 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap	Luton Town FC covers	Push	Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	23%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	18%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

43% ✓

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.