Sunday , 16 August 2026

Luton Town FC vs Cardiff City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
19 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–0 W
16 Aug Bradford City AFC A 1–2 L
09 Aug Peterborough United FC A 2–0 W
01 Aug AFC Wimbledon H 1–0 W
03 May West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Luton Town FC A 1–0 W
19 Aug AFC Wimbledon A 1–0 W
16 Aug Rotherham United FC H 3–0 W
07 Aug Port Vale FC A 0–0 D
02 Aug Peterborough United FC H 2–1 W
03 May Norwich City FC A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Luton Town FC Cardiff City FC
#11 Position #2
3 Points 91
1 Played 46
1 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 27 / 10 / 9
4 Scored 90
3 Conceded 50
+1 GD +40
3.00 PPG 1.98
100% Win % 59%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Luton Town FC are 11th (3 pts). Cardiff City FC are 2nd (91 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Luton Town FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/2
46-60
2/
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.34 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.48 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC39% Draw22% Cardiff City FC39%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes82% 0% No18%
Avg goals/match: 4.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 85%
15%
± 3.5 69%
31%
± 4.5 52%
48%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
61%
Luton Town FC or Cardiff City FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC31% Draw34% Cardiff City FC35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 1
5.5%
1 – 1
5.4%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 3
4.2%
2 – 4
3.3%
4 – 2
3%
1 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 11% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 16% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 17% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 12% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
9%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.