Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 1–2 L
31 Aug Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
24 Aug Everton FC A 0–2 L
16 Aug Fulham FC H 1–1 D
25 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 4–1 W
19 May Liverpool FC H 3–2 W

Season Stats

AFC Bournemouth Brighton & Hove Albion FC
#17 Position #3
3 Points 10
5 Played 5
0 / 3 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 1
6 Scored 16
8 Conceded 5
-2 GD +11
0.60 PPG 2.00
0% Win % 60%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
60% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

AFC Bournemouth are 17th (3 pts). Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 3rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
Marcus Tavernier 3 G
Alex Scott 1 G
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Pascal Gross 3 G 3 A
Charalampos Kostoulas 2 G 1 A
Jack Hinshelwood 2 G
Malick Yalcouye 2 G
Maxim De Cuyper 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Bournemouth Lineups

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.36 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth30% Draw22% Brighton & Hove Albion FC48%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
52%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
70%
AFC Bournemouth or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth19% Draw38% Brighton & Hove Albion FC43%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 4
4.1%
0 – 0
3.7%
0 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 21% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 17% 20%
+2.5 80% — 20%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.