Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Leeds United FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs AFC Bournemouth — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 2–2 D
20 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–1 W
13 Sep Fulham FC A 0–1 L
30 Aug Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
23 Aug Arsenal FC A 0–5 L
18 Aug Everton FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Leeds United FC A 2–2 D
21 Sep Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
13 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–1 W
30 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–0 W
23 Aug Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
15 Aug Liverpool FC A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Leeds United FC AFC Bournemouth
#5 Position #17
9 Points 3
5 Played 5
2 / 3 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 3 / 2
7 Scored 6
3 Conceded 8
+4 GD -2
1.80 PPG 0.60
40% Win % 0%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

Leeds United FC are 5th (9 pts). AFC Bournemouth are 17th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Bournemouth
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G
AFC Bournemouth
Marcus Tavernier 3 G
Alex Scott 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

AFC Bournemouth Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.86 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC48% Draw26% AFC Bournemouth26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
73%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
52%
Leeds United FC or AFC Bournemouth
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC37% Draw43% AFC Bournemouth20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 21% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.