Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Le Mans FC vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
4 – 0
Full Time
Mon 6 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Stade Marie-Marvingt 10,901 HT 45' · FT 45'
Dame Gueye 26' 1–0
Dame Gueye pen 40' 2–0
Lucas Bretelle 78' 3–0
Antoine Rabillard 83' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Le Mans FC vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 at Stade Marie-Marvingt.

Match Details

  • Referee Mikael Lesage
  • Assistant 1 Quentin Guidou (France)
  • Assistant 2 Julien Aube

Head-to-Head

2
Le Mans FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Pau FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Pau FC H 4–0 W
20 Mar Amiens SC A 4–3 W
13 Mar AS Nancy-Lorraine A 4–2 W
07 Mar FC Annecy H 3–0 W
28 Feb Red Star FC A 0–0 D
23 Feb En Avant Guingamp H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Le Mans FC A 0–4 L
20 Mar Montpellier HSC H 0–0 D
13 Mar Clermont Foot 63 A 1–0 W
06 Mar SC Bastia H 2–2 D
28 Feb AS Saint-Étienne H 0–3 L
21 Feb ES Troyes AC A 3–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Pau FC
Babacar Leye 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Le Mans FC launch into their encounter with Pau FC.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Pau FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Le Mans FC currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' Le Mans FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Pau FC backline.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Le Mans FC and Pau FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 26' Dame Gueye does the damage! The net is bulging and Le Mans FC surge ahead!
  • 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tom Pouilly, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Marie-Marvingt with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 36' Nicolas Kocik has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 68 appearances.
  • 38' Pau FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
  • 40' What composure from Dame Gueye! The Senegal international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 45' It looks surprising Le Mans FC does not make any changes. Omar Sadik has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' The whistle greets Tom Pouilly as he departs to be replaced by Neil Glossoa.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 58' Poor challenge from Rayan Touzghar. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 61' Adil Bourabaa gets the nod from Le Mans FC. He replaces Milan Robin and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 62' The referee has no hesitation. Isaac Cossier is booked for Le Mans FC — card on 62.
  • 66' Omar Sadik is replacing Julien Anziani for the Pau FC side.
  • 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Thierry Debes.
  • 69' Le Mans FC ring the changes. Isaac Cossier has done his job and it is now time for Harold Voyer to step up.
  • 74' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 76' Pau FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cheikh Fall is hanging Rayan Touzghar on the field on 76 minute.
  • 78' What a strike from Lucas Bretelle! The score is 3-0.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Le Mans FC! Anthony Ribelin comes on to replace Lucas Calodat.
  • 82' Fresh legs for Pau FC! Kylian Gasnier comes on to replace Kyliane Dong.
  • 83' Magnificent from Antoine Rabillard! That is 4 goals in 190 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 88' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • Le Mans FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.16 Le Mans FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: Le Mans FC to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Le Mans FC66% Draw21% Pau FC13%
Actual: Le Mans FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Le Mans FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Pau FC
34%
Le Mans FC or Pau FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Le Mans FC48% Draw41% Pau FC11%
Actual: Le Mans FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
6.7%
0 – 0
6.7%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3.5%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Le Mans FC

Handicap Le Mans FC covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 20% 57%
-1.5 43% — 57%
-1 43% 23% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Le Mans FC keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.