Le Mans FC vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Le Mans FC vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 at Stade Marie-Marvingt.
- Le Mans FC 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- Pau FC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Mikael Lesage
- Assistant 1 Quentin Guidou (France)
- Assistant 2 Julien Aube
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Red Star FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stade de Reims | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Montpellier HSC | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Metz | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Annecy | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Pau FC | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | USL Dunkerque | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | En Avant Guingamp | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | FC Nantes | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot 63 | 7 | 6 |
| 17 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Pau FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Amiens SC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 13 Mar | AS Nancy-Lorraine | A | 4–2 | W |
| 07 Mar | FC Annecy | H | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Red Star FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | En Avant Guingamp | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Le Mans FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Mar | Montpellier HSC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Mar | Clermont Foot 63 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | SC Bastia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | AS Saint-Étienne | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Feb | ES Troyes AC | A | 3–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season
Pau FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Pau FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Pau FC
| Babacar Leye | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Le Mans FC launch into their encounter with Pau FC.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Pau FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Le Mans FC currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' Le Mans FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Pau FC backline.
- 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Le Mans FC and Pau FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 26' Dame Gueye does the damage! The net is bulging and Le Mans FC surge ahead!
- 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tom Pouilly, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Marie-Marvingt with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 36' Nicolas Kocik has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 68 appearances.
- 38' Pau FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
- 40' What composure from Dame Gueye! The Senegal international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 45' It looks surprising Le Mans FC does not make any changes. Omar Sadik has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 46' The whistle greets Tom Pouilly as he departs to be replaced by Neil Glossoa.
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 58' Poor challenge from Rayan Touzghar. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 61' Adil Bourabaa gets the nod from Le Mans FC. He replaces Milan Robin and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' The referee has no hesitation. Isaac Cossier is booked for Le Mans FC — card on 62.
- 66' Omar Sadik is replacing Julien Anziani for the Pau FC side.
- 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Thierry Debes.
- 69' Le Mans FC ring the changes. Isaac Cossier has done his job and it is now time for Harold Voyer to step up.
- 74' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 76' Pau FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cheikh Fall is hanging Rayan Touzghar on the field on 76 minute.
- 78' What a strike from Lucas Bretelle! The score is 3-0.
- 79' Fresh legs for Le Mans FC! Anthony Ribelin comes on to replace Lucas Calodat.
- 82' Fresh legs for Pau FC! Kylian Gasnier comes on to replace Kyliane Dong.
- 83' Magnificent from Antoine Rabillard! That is 4 goals in 190 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 88' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- Le Mans FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Le Mans FC Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 17
- 6
- 18
-
25
Dame Gueye ↓ Antoine Rabillard 61'
- 98
-
22
Lucas Calodat ↓ Anthony Ribelin 79'
- 28
-
3
Isaac Cossier ↓ Harold Voyer 69'
-
24
Milan Robin ↓ Adil Bourabaa 61'
- 31
- 29
Bench
-
9
Antoine Rabillard ↑ 61'
-
8
Alexandre Lauray ↑ 69'
-
5
Harold Voyer ↑ 69'
-
11
Adil Bourabaa ↑ 61'
- 1
-
12
Anthony Ribelin ↑ 79'
- 20
Coach
Patrick Videira
Pau FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 19
-
20
Julien Anziani ↓ Omar Sadik 66'
- 25
- 21
- 30
- 97
-
9
Kyliane Dong ↓ Kylian Gasnier 82'
- 10
-
2
Tom Pouilly ↓ Neil Glossoa 46'
- 3
-
84
Rayan Touzghar ↓ Cheikh Fall 76'
Bench
-
14
Antonin Bobichon ↑ 76'
- 22
-
6
Cheikh Fall ↑ 76'
- 8
-
18
Omar Sadik ↑ 66'
-
26
Neil Glossoa ↑ 46'
-
11
Kylian Gasnier ↑ 82'
Coach
Thierry Debès
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dame Gueye | 2 |
| Antoine Rabillard | 1 |
| Lucas Bretelle | 1 |
Le Mans FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.16
Le Mans FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Pau FC xG
I would bet for:
Le Mans FC to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Le Mans FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Le Mans FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Pau FC
34%
Le Mans FC or Pau FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Le Mans FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
6.7%
0 – 0
6.7%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3.5%
0 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Le Mans FC
| Handicap | Le Mans FC covers | Push | Pau FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 23% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Le Mans FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
