Le Mans FC vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Le Mans FC vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 at Stade Marie-Marvingt.
- Le Mans FC 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- Pau FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Mikael Lesage
- Assistant 1 Quentin Guidou (France)
- Assistant 2 Julien Aube
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Etienne | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier HSC | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau FC | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Metz | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star FC | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Annecy | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | USL Dunkerque | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | En Avant Guingamp | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | US Boulogne Cote d'Opale | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Nantes | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot 63 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 12 | 11 |
| 17 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 12 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Pau FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Amiens SC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 13 Mar | AS Nancy-Lorraine | A | 4–2 | W |
| 07 Mar | FC Annecy | H | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Red Star FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | En Avant Guingamp | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Le Mans FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Mar | Montpellier HSC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Mar | Clermont Foot 63 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | SC Bastia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | AS Saint-Etienne | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Feb | ES Troyes AC | A | 3–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season
Pau FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Pau FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Pau FC
| Babacar Leye | 4 G | 2 A |
| Cheikh Fall | 3 G | |
| Hacene Benali | 3 G | |
| Lorenzo Rajot | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Le Mans FC and Pau FC has kicked off!
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Le Mans FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' The travelling Pau FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 25' Le Mans FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 26' A stunning finish from Dame Gueye — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 31' Pau FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 38' Julien Anziani is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
- 40' What a moment for Dame Gueye! That strike on 40 puts his side firmly in control.
- 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' Another substitution for Pau FC to replace Tom Pouilly by Neil Glossoa on 46 minute.
- 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Le Mans FC and Pau FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Esteban Salles, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Marie-Marvingt with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 58' That is a card for Pau FC. Rayan Touzghar will be fuming at that decision.
- 61' Adil Bourabaa gets the nod from Le Mans FC. He replaces Milan Robin and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' It’s a booking for Le Mans FC player. Isaac Cossier gets a card.
- 66' Time for substitution for Pau FC. Julien Anziani is replaced by Omar Sadik.
- 68' That is a card for Pau FC. Thierry Debes will be fuming at that decision.
- 69' A change in the Le Mans FC ranks — Isaac Cossier exits the field as Harold Voyer enters on 69.
- 74' Both keepers have barely been tested. Le Mans FC and Pau FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 76' Cheikh Fall gets the nod from Pau FC. He replaces Rayan Touzghar and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' The deadlock is broken! Lucas Bretelle gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
- 79' Anthony Ribelin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Calodat on 79 minute.
- 82' Pau FC ring the changes. Kyliane Dong has done his job and it is now time for Kylian Gasnier to step up.
- 83' Goal! Antoine Rabillard scores his 4 goal in 190 matches.
- 88' Over 88 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Le Mans FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Le Mans FC Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 17
- 6
- 18
-
25
Dame Gueye ↓ Antoine Rabillard 61'
- 98
-
22
Lucas Calodat ↓ Anthony Ribelin 79'
- 28
-
3
Isaac Cossier ↓ Harold Voyer 69'
-
24
Milan Robin ↓ Adil Bourabaa 61'
- 31
- 29
Bench
-
9
Antoine Rabillard ↑ 61'
-
8
Alexandre Lauray ↑ 69'
-
5
Harold Voyer ↑ 69'
-
11
Adil Bourabaa ↑ 61'
- 1
-
12
Anthony Ribelin ↑ 79'
- 20
Coach
Patrick Videira
Pau FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 19
-
20
Julien Anziani ↓ Omar Sadik 66'
- 25
- 21
- 30
- 97
-
9
Kyliane Dong ↓ Kylian Gasnier 82'
- 10
-
2
Tom Pouilly ↓ Neil Glossoa 46'
- 3
-
84
Rayan Touzghar ↓ Cheikh Fall 76'
Bench
-
14
Antonin Bobichon ↑ 76'
- 22
-
6
Cheikh Fall ↑ 76'
- 8
-
18
Omar Sadik ↑ 66'
-
26
Neil Glossoa ↑ 46'
-
11
Kylian Gasnier ↑ 82'
Coach
Thierry Debès
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dame Gueye | 2 |
| Antoine Rabillard | 1 |
| Lucas Bretelle | 1 |
Le Mans FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.16
Le Mans FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Pau FC xG
I would bet for:
Le Mans FC to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Le Mans FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Le Mans FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Pau FC
34%
Le Mans FC or Pau FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Le Mans FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
6.7%
0 – 0
6.7%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3.5%
0 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Le Mans FC
| Handicap | Le Mans FC covers | Push | Pau FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 23% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Le Mans FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
