Spain vs Poland, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Spain Lineups
Poland Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
0.78
Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Poland xG
I would bet for:
Poland or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Poland win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Spain or Draw
60%
Draw or Poland
73%
Spain or Poland
67%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.2%
2 – 2
2.9%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Spain
| Handicap | Spain covers | Push | Poland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 16% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.