Italy vs Russia, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 21 Nov Russia H 3–0 W 18 Nov Republic of Ireland H 7–0 W 11 Nov Portugal A 2–2 D 28 Oct Northern Ireland H 0–3 L 21 Oct Penistone Church FC A 0–0 D 17 Oct Czechia A 4–1 W Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Italy Lineups
Russia Lineups
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H2H
Italy Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 31.77 Italy xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.85 Russia xGI would bet for: Italy to win 57%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.62Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 91% 9% ± 1.5 73% 27% ± 2.5 48% 52% ± 3.5 27% 73% ± 4.5 13% 87% Double Chance
Italy or Draw 82%Draw or Russia 43%Italy or Russia 75%Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 121 – 0 12.1%1 – 1 11.8%2 – 0 11.1%2 – 1 9.4%0 – 0 9.2%3 – 0 Actual3 – 1 5.6%0 – 1 5.3%1 – 2 4.5%2 – 2 4%4 – 0 2.8%0 – 2 2.6%Asian Handicap — Italy
Handicap Italy covers Push Russia covers -2.5 15% — 85% -2 15% 18% 67% -1.5 33% — 67% -1 33% 24% 43% -0.5 57% — 43% +0.5 83% — 17% +1 83% 11% 6% +1.5 94% — 6% +2 94% 4% 1% +2.5 99% — 1% Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet 43% ✗Russia keeps clean sheet 18% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.