Italy vs Belgium, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 24 Mar Belgium H 2–0 W 17 Mar Blyth Town FC A 1–1 D 13 Mar Northern Ireland A 2–2 D 10 Mar Switzerland H 1–2 L 03 Mar Republic of Ireland A 1–1 D 24 Feb Portugal H 2–2 D Key Stats
33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Italy Lineups
Belgium Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Graziano Pelle 1 Romelu Lukaku 1 Leonardo Bonucci 1 Nicolo Barella 1 Lorenzo Insigne 1 Emanuele Giaccherini 1 Graziano Pelle 1 Emanuele Giaccherini 1 Head to Head
Italy Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 41.43 Italy xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.82 Belgium xGI would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.25Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 87% 13% ± 1.5 66% 34% ± 2.5 39% 61% ± 3.5 20% 80% ± 4.5 8% 92% Double Chance
Italy or Draw 81%Draw or Belgium 46%Italy or Belgium 73%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 0 14%1 – 1 13.2%0 – 0 12.8%2 – 0 Actual2 – 1 8.6%0 – 1 7.4%3 – 0 4.9%1 – 2 4.8%3 – 1 4.2%2 – 2 3.6%0 – 2 3.3%3 – 2 1.8%Asian Handicap — Italy
Handicap Italy covers Push Belgium covers -2.5 10% — 90% -2 10% 15% 75% -1.5 25% — 75% -1 25% 25% 50% -0.5 50% — 50% +0.5 80% — 20% +1 80% 13% 6% +1.5 94% — 6% +2 94% 5% 2% +2.5 98% — 2% Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet 45% ✗Belgium keeps clean sheet 25% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.