Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hull City AFC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC MKM Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' William Smallbone
Liam Delap 25' 1–1
1–2 90+5' Ryan Fraser

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Southampton FC — Championship at MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Geoff Eltringham
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg

Head-to-Head

3
1
Hull City AFC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Southampton FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Southampton FC H 1–2 L
07 Oct Millwall FC A 2–2 D
03 Oct Ipswich Town FC A 0–3 L
30 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
24 Sep Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
20 Sep Leeds United FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Hull City AFC A 2–1 W
07 Oct Rotherham United FC H 1–1 D
03 Oct Stoke City FC A 1–0 W
30 Sep Leeds United FC H 3–1 W
23 Sep Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
19 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Finn Azaz 3 G 4 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Hull City AFC host Southampton FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Liam Delap, a England forward, has 29 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' What composure from William Smallbone! The Ireland international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 25' What an equalizer from Liam Delap!
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. Hull City AFC and Southampton FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 39' A moment of madness from Ryan Manning on 39 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Southampton FC will be frustrated.
  • 44' Carlos Alcaraz is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hull City AFC so far.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Jaden Philogene-Bidace on 45 minutes.
  • 46' The referee calls foul for Cyrus Christie. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 48' Carlos Alcaraz was booked on 48.
  • 52' Hull City AFC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 52.
  • 57' Hull City AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 62' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 65' The whistle greets Cyrus Christie as he departs to be replaced by Lewie Coyle.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Kamal Deen Sulemana as he leaves the pitch. Samuel Edozie steps in for Southampton FC.
  • 75' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 76' Aaron Connolly gets the nod from Hull City AFC. He replaces Jason Lokilo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 82' The Hull City AFC bench stirs into life. Liam Delap is withdrawn and Allahyar Sayyadmanesh gets his opportunity.
  • 84' The whistle greets Stuart Armstrong as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Fraser.
  • 88' Southampton FC ring the changes. Adam Armstrong has done his job and it is now time for Sekou Mara to step up.
  • 89' It’s a booking for Hull City AFC player. Lewie Coyle gets a Yellow card.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ryan Fraser.
  • Hull City AFC will have plenty to reflect on. Southampton FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Southampton FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC31% Draw30% Southampton FC39%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
61%
Draw or Southampton FC
69%
Hull City AFC or Southampton FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC22% Draw49% Southampton FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 21% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.