Hull City AFC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Southampton FC — Championship at MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Southampton FC 15 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Geoff Eltringham
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Southampton FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | Millwall FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Oct | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Sep | Stoke City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Leeds United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Oct | Rotherham United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Oct | Stoke City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | Leeds United FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
Southampton FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Southampton FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
2/4
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
3/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Southampton FC
| Cyle Larin | 7 G | |
| Kuryu Matsuki | 4 G | 1 A |
| Finn Azaz | 3 G | 5 A |
| Leo Scienza | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Hull City AFC welcome Southampton FC for this crunch clash at MKM Stadium.
- 5' Hull City AFC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Southampton FC's 4-3-3 shape.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Hull City AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Alfie Jones has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 302 appearances.
- 20' GOAL! William Smallbone fires home to make it 0-1!
- 25' Goal! Liam Delap scores his 28 goal in 452 matches.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Russell Martin will be considering his options from the bench.
- 39' Ryan Manning is having his name booked by the referee on 39.
- 44' Hull City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jaden Philogene-Bidace.
- 46' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Cyrus Christie.
- 48' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Carlos Alcaraz on 48 minutes.
- 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tyler Morton on 52.
- 57' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 62' The 34-year-old Ryan Allsop has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 65' Fresh legs for Hull City AFC! Lewie Coyle comes on to replace Cyrus Christie.
- 70' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Kamal Deen Sulemana is replaced by Samuel Edozie.
- 75' Over 75 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 76' Hull City AFC make a change. Jason Lokilo trudges off to be replaced by Aaron Connolly on 76 minutes.
- 81' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 82' Hull City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Allahyar Sayyadmanesh is hanging Liam Delap on the field on 82 minute.
- 84' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Stuart Armstrong is replaced by Ryan Fraser.
- 88' Southampton FC ring the changes. Adam Armstrong has done his job and it is now time for Sekou Mara to step up.
- 89' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Lewie Coyle.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Ryan Fraser. He receives a Yellow card.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Southampton FC players.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
33
Cyrus Christie ↓ Lewie Coyle 65'
- 24
- 3
- 17
-
30
Scott Twine ↓ Ozan Tufan 65'
-
22
Jason Lokilo ↓ Aaron Connolly 76'
- 5
- 4
- 20
- 23
- 15
Bench
-
7
Ozan Tufan ↑ 65'
- 11
-
44
Aaron Connolly ↑ 76'
- 1
-
2
Lewie Coyle ↑ 65'
- 8
- 10
- 6
-
9
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh ↑ 82'
Coach
Liam Rosenior
Southampton FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 35
-
17
Stuart Armstrong ↓ Ryan Fraser 84'
- 2
- 4
-
9
Adam Armstrong ↓ Sekou Mara 88'
- 3
- 31
- 21
-
22
Carlos Alcaraz ↓ Che Adams 70'
- 16
- 20
Bench
-
26
Ryan Fraser ↑ 84'
- 6
- 1
-
10
Che Adams ↑ 70'
- 14
- 7
-
18
Sekou Mara ↑ 88'
-
23
Samuel Edozie ↑ 70'
-
24
Shea Charles ↑ 88'
Coach
Russell Martin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Liam Delap | 1 |
| Ryan Fraser | 1 |
| William Smallbone | 1 |
| Fabio Carvalho | 1 |
| Anass Zaroury | 1 |
| Joe Aribo | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
Southampton FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
Southampton FC xG
I would bet for:
Hull City AFC or Southampton FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
61%
Draw or Southampton FC
69%
Hull City AFC or Southampton FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Southampton FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 21% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

