Hull City AFC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Southampton FC — Championship at MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Southampton FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Geoff Eltringham
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Southampton FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | Millwall FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Oct | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Sep | Stoke City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Leeds United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Oct | Rotherham United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Oct | Stoke City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | Leeds United FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Hull City AFC | Southampton FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #4 |
| 73 | Points | 80 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 21 / 10 / 15 | W / D / L | 22 / 14 / 10 |
| 70 | Scored | 82 |
| 66 | Conceded | 56 |
| +4 | GD | +26 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 46% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts). Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Hull City AFC and Southampton FC get this one started.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Hull City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Jan Bednarek has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 348 appearances.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' William Smallbone adds to his 0 season tally! Southampton FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 25' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Liam Delap makes it 1-1.
- 30' Hull City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Southampton FC backline.
- 35' It looks surprising Southampton FC does not make any changes. Jacob Greaves has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 39' The referee shows Southampton FC player a Yellow card on 39.
- 44' Sekou Mara has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 45' It’s a booking for Hull City AFC player. Jaden Philogene-Bidace gets a Yellow card.
- 46' Cyrus Christie was booked on 46.
- 48' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Carlos Alcaraz.
- 52' Poor challenge from Tyler Morton. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 57' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 62' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Hull City AFC and Southampton FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 65' Fresh legs for Hull City AFC! Lewie Coyle comes on to replace Cyrus Christie.
- 70' A tactical swap from Southampton FC — Samuel Edozie on, Kamal Deen Sulemana off on 70 minutes.
- 75' The home supporters are growing impatient. Hull City AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 76' Fresh legs for Hull City AFC! Aaron Connolly comes on to replace Jason Lokilo.
- 81' Southampton FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 82' A change in the Hull City AFC ranks — Liam Delap exits the field as Allahyar Sayyadmanesh enters on 82.
- 84' Ryan Fraser is ready to make an impact after coming on for Stuart Armstrong at the 84 minute mark.
- 88' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. Adam Armstrong is withdrawn and Sekou Mara gets his opportunity.
- 89' A moment of madness from Lewie Coyle on 89 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Hull City AFC will be frustrated.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Ryan Fraser. He receives a Yellow card.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
33
Cyrus Christie ↓ Lewie Coyle 65'
- 24
- 3
- 17
-
30
Scott Twine ↓ Ozan Tufan 65'
-
22
Jason Lokilo ↓ Aaron Connolly 76'
- 5
- 4
- 20
- 23
- 15
Bench
-
7
Ozan Tufan ↑ 65'
- 11
-
44
Aaron Connolly ↑ 76'
- 1
-
2
Lewie Coyle ↑ 65'
- 8
- 10
- 6
-
9
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh ↑ 82'
Coach
Liam Rosenior
Southampton FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 35
-
17
Stuart Armstrong ↓ Ryan Fraser 84'
- 2
- 4
-
9
Adam Armstrong ↓ Sekou Mara 88'
- 3
- 31
- 21
-
22
Carlos Alcaraz ↓ Che Adams 70'
- 16
- 20
Bench
-
26
Ryan Fraser ↑ 84'
- 6
- 1
-
10
Che Adams ↑ 70'
- 14
- 7
-
18
Sekou Mara ↑ 88'
-
23
Samuel Edozie ↑ 70'
-
24
Shea Charles ↑ 88'
Coach
Russell Martin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Fabio Carvalho | 1 |
| Anass Zaroury | 1 |
| Joe Aribo | 1 |
| Liam Delap | 1 |
| Ryan Fraser | 1 |
| William Smallbone | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
Southampton FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
Southampton FC xG
I would bet for:
Hull City AFC or Southampton FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
56%
Draw or Southampton FC
71%
Hull City AFC or Southampton FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.6%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
5.2%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Southampton FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 21% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.