Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hull City AFC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 16 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC MKM Stadium 20,352 HT 45' · FT 45'
Aaron Connolly 32' 1–0
Scott Twine 56' 2–0
Ozan Tufan 59' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Cardiff City FCChampionship at MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Keith Stroud
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Smith
  • Assistant 2 Gregory Read (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec Cardiff City FC H 3–0 W
13 Dec Middlesbrough FC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–2 L
02 Dec Watford FC H 1–2 L
28 Nov Rotherham United FC H 4–1 W
25 Nov Swansea City AFC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec Hull City AFC A 0–3 L
13 Dec Birmingham City FC H 0–1 L
09 Dec Millwall FC H 1–0 W
02 Dec Southampton FC A 0–2 L
28 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov Preston North End FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Hull City AFC is hosting Cardiff City FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' Cardiff City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' Jak Alnwick has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 51 appearances.
  • 20' Scott Twine, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 32' Assisted by Liam Delap with the perfectly-timed delivery and Aaron Connolly makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 37' The 23-year-old Tyler Morton has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' Josh Bowler is replacing Ike Ugbo for the Cardiff City FC side.
  • 51' Josh Bowler has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 54' Jamilu Collins picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 56' The England Scott Twine breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 2-0!
  • 56' That is a Yellow card for Cardiff City FC. Manolis Siopis will be fuming at that decision.
  • 59' Brilliant from the ! Ozan Tufan makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 59.
  • 64' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 66' Cardiff City FC make a change. Manolis Siopis trudges off to be replaced by Romaine Sawyers on 66 minutes.
  • 67' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Cyrus Christie on 67 minutes.
  • 67' Another substitution for Hull City AFC to replace Jean Michael Seri by Greg Docherty on 67 minute.
  • 72' It looks surprising Hull City AFC does not make any changes. Dimitrios Goutas has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 77' The Cardiff City FC manager makes a substitution. Karlan Grant departs to be replaced by Ollie Tanner.
  • 81' Another substitution for Hull City AFC to replace Aaron Connolly by Harry Vaughan on 81 minute.
  • 83' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ebou Adams.
  • 88' Cardiff City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Hull City AFCAndy Smith on, Tyler Morton off on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.83 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC61% Draw23% Cardiff City FC16%
Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
84%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
39%
Hull City AFC or Cardiff City FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC41% Draw45% Cardiff City FC14%
Actual: Hull City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
11.7%
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 24% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
43%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.