Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hull City AFC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC The MKM Stadium 22,706 HT 45' · FT 45'
Joe Gelhardt 24' 1–0
1–1 77' Tomoki Iwata

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Jacob Graham (England)
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
11 Apr Sheffield United FC A 1–2 L
06 Apr Coventry City FC H 0–0 D
03 Apr Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
21 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–1 W
14 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
12 Apr Wrexham AFC H 2–0 W
06 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 1–2 L
03 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
21 Mar Derby County FC A 0–1 L
14 Mar Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Birmingham City FC
Phil Neumann 2 G
Demarai Gray 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Hull City AFC have kicked off against Birmingham City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' South Korea international Seung-Ho Paik has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Hull City AFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Birmingham City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 24' Magnificent from Joe Gelhardt! That is 14 goals in 387 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 29' That is a card for Hull City AFC. Paddy McNair will be fuming at that decision.
  • 34' Matt Crooks, a England midfielder, has 19 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 39' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
  • 44' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Chris Davies will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 49' The travelling Birmingham City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 50' A change in the Birmingham City FC ranks — Bright Osayi-Samuel exits the field as Ethan Laird enters on 50.
  • 55' The referee has no hesitation. Jay Stansfield is booked for Birmingham City FC — card on 55.
  • 60' The 29-year-old Kai Wagner has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 63' Marvin Ducksch has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jay Stansfield on 63 minute.
  • 67' Joe Gelhardt has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
  • 72' A quiet spell here at The MKM Stadium. Hull City AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 75' Lewis Koumas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Liam Millar on 75 minute.
  • 77' Brilliant from the ! Tomoki Iwata makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 77.
  • 82' Demarai Gray has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 83' Ryan John Giles is replacing Paddy McNair for the Hull City AFC side.
  • 85' Kieran Dowell picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 86' Demarai Gray is having his name booked by the referee on 86.
  • 87' Kyle Joseph is replacing Amir Hadziahmetovic for the Hull City AFC side.
  • 88' The referee calls foul for Phil Neumann. He receives a card.
  • 90' Marvin Ducksch has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' The whistle greets Carlos Vicente as he departs to be replaced by Seung-Ho Paik.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.32 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC43% Draw29% Birmingham City FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
72%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
57%
Hull City AFC or Birmingham City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC29% Draw50% Birmingham City FC21%
Actual: Hull City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.