Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
Holstein Kiel
0 – 3
Full Time
VfB Stuttgart
Wed 4 Feb 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart — DFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
2
Holstein Kiel 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals VfB Stuttgart
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-04 Holstein Kiel 0–3 VfB Stuttgart 2025-03-08 Holstein Kiel 2–2 VfB Stuttgart 2024-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 0–3 L
31 Jan SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 1–2 L
23 Jan Arminia Bielefeld A 2–2 D
18 Jan SC Paderborn 07 H 2–0 W
20 Dec SG Dynamo Dresden H 2–1 W
13 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 3–3 D
VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
01 Feb SC Freiburg H 1–0 W
29 Jan BSC Young Boys H 3–2 W
25 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–0 W
22 Jan AS Roma A 0–2 L
18 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. VfB Stuttgart kicks off things out of here…
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Holstein Kiel.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Steven Skrzybski 2
Ermedin Demirovic 1
Jamie Leweling 1
El Bilal Toure 1
Deniz Undav 1
Armin Gigovic 1

Head to Head

2026-02-04 Holstein Kiel 0–3 VfB Stuttgart 2025-03-08 Holstein Kiel 2–2 VfB Stuttgart 2024-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel Form

2026-02-04 Holstein Kiel 0–3 VfB Stuttgart L 2026-01-31 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 L 2026-01-23 Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 Holstein Kiel D 2026-01-18 Holstein Kiel 2–0 SC Paderborn 07 W 2025-12-20 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden W 2025-12-13 1. FC Magdeburg 3–3 Holstein Kiel D

VfB Stuttgart Form

2026-02-04 Holstein Kiel 0–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2026-02-01 VfB Stuttgart 1–0 SC Freiburg W 2026-01-29 VfB Stuttgart 3–2 BSC Young Boys W 2026-01-25 Borussia Monchengladbach 0–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2026-01-22 AS Roma 2–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2026-01-18 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.1 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel26% Draw27% VfB Stuttgart47%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
54%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
74%
Holstein Kiel or VfB Stuttgart
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel19% Draw46% VfB Stuttgart35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
8.4%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
5%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 22% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.