Thursday , 2 July 2026

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Arminia Bielefeld
2 – 2
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Fri 23 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Lars Erbst
14 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 4.2 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Schalke 04 34 70
2 SV 07 Elversberg 34 62
3 SC Paderborn 07 34 62
4 Hannover 96 34 60
5 SV Darmstadt 98 34 52
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 34 52
7 Hertha BSC 34 51
8 1. FC Nurnberg 34 46
9 VfL Bochum 1848 34 44
10 Karlsruher SC 34 44
11 SG Dynamo Dresden 34 41
12 Holstein Kiel 34 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 39
14 1. FC Magdeburg 34 39
15 Eintracht Braunschweig 34 37
16 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 34 37
17 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 37
18 SC Preussen Munster 34 30

Head-to-Head

1
1
Arminia Bielefeld 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-23 Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 Holstein Kiel 2025-08-10 Holstein Kiel 0–2 Arminia Bielefeld

Recent Form

Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Holstein Kiel H 2–2 D
16 Jan TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 0–1 L
19 Dec Hertha BSC A 1–1 D
13 Dec 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 0–0 D
06 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
30 Nov SC Preussen Munster H 1–2 L
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Arminia Bielefeld A 2–2 D
18 Jan SC Paderborn 07 H 2–0 W
20 Dec SG Dynamo Dresden H 2–1 W
13 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 3–3 D
07 Dec Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–1 D
03 Dec Hamburger SV A 5–3 W

Season Stats

Arminia Bielefeld Holstein Kiel
#13 Position #12
39 Points 41
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 11 / 8 / 15
53 Scored 44
51 Conceded 48
+2 GD -4
1.15 PPG 1.21
29% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Arminia Bielefeld this season
26% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Arminia Bielefeld are 13th (39 pts). Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arminia Bielefeld
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/1
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Holstein Kiel
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Arminia Bielefeld to score. At the same time, Holstein Kiel does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Arminia Bielefeld Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.81 Arminia Bielefeld xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Arminia Bielefeld or Holstein Kiel 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Arminia Bielefeld43% Draw26% Holstein Kiel31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Arminia Bielefeld or Draw
69%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
57%
Arminia Bielefeld or Holstein Kiel
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arminia Bielefeld33% Draw42% Holstein Kiel25%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Arminia Bielefeld

Handicap Arminia Bielefeld covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Arminia Bielefeld keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.