Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Arminia Bielefeld
2 – 2
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Fri 23 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Lars Erbst
4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Hertha BSC 6 18
2 1. FC Nürnberg 6 16
3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 6 13
4 VfL Wolfsburg 6 11
5 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 11
6 1. FC Magdeburg 6 10
7 FC Energie Cottbus 6 8
8 FC St. Pauli 1910 6 7
9 VfL Bochum 1848 6 7
10 Hannover 96 6 7
11 VfL Osnabrück 6 7
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 6 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 5
14 Karlsruher SC 6 5
15 Eintracht Braunschweig 6 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 4
17 SG Dynamo Dresden 6 4
18 SV Darmstadt 98 6 4

Head-to-Head

1
1
Arminia Bielefeld 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-23 Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 Holstein Kiel 2025-08-10 Holstein Kiel 0–2 Arminia Bielefeld

Recent Form

Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Holstein Kiel H 2–2 D
16 Jan TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 0–1 L
19 Dec Hertha BSC A 1–1 D
13 Dec 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 0–0 D
06 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
30 Nov SC Preußen Münster H 1–2 L
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Arminia Bielefeld A 2–2 D
18 Jan SC Paderborn 07 H 2–0 W
20 Dec SG Dynamo Dresden H 2–1 W
13 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 3–3 D
07 Dec Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–1 D
03 Dec Hamburger SV A 5–3 W

Season Stats

Arminia Bielefeld Holstein Kiel
#13 Position #16
5 Points 4
6 Played 6
1 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 0 / 4 / 2
10 Scored 7
12 Conceded 10
-2 GD -3
0.83 PPG 0.67
17% Win % 0%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Arminia Bielefeld this season
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Arminia Bielefeld are 13th (5 pts). Holstein Kiel are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arminia Bielefeld
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Arminia Bielefeld
Joel Grodowski 5 G
Marius Worl 2 G
Marvin Mehlem 1 G
Holstein Kiel
Phil Harres 4 G 2 A
Guillermo Balzi 1 G
Jonas Therkelsen 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Arminia Bielefeld Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.91 Arminia Bielefeld xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Arminia Bielefeld or Holstein Kiel 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Arminia Bielefeld44% Draw25% Holstein Kiel31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Arminia Bielefeld or Draw
69%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
56%
Arminia Bielefeld or Holstein Kiel
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arminia Bielefeld35% Draw41% Holstein Kiel24%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Arminia Bielefeld

Handicap Arminia Bielefeld covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Arminia Bielefeld keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.