Friday , 24 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Nürnberg, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 3 Nov 2024 · 12:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Daniel Elfadli 15' 1–0
1–1 63' Mahir Emreli

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Bauer
  • Assistant 1 Luca Schlosser
  • Assistant 2 Felix Wagner (Germany)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov 1. FC Nürnberg H 1–1 D
30 Oct SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
26 Oct SV 07 Elversberg A 2–4 L
20 Oct 1. FC Magdeburg H 3–1 W
06 Oct TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 3–0 W
28 Sep SC Paderborn 07 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov Hamburger SV A 1–1 D
30 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–2 L
25 Oct SSV Jahn Regensburg H 8–3 W
20 Oct SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 4–0 W
05 Oct SC Preußen Münster H 3–2 W
29 Sep Hannover 96 A 0–2 L

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Volksparkstadion will turn into a battlefield for Hamburger SV and 1. FC Nurnberg.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Ondrej Karafiat has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 166 appearances.
  • 15' Daniel Elfadli has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 15 minutes.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Hamburger SV and 1. FC Nurnberg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' 1. FC Nurnberg come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steffen Baumgart will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 31' Ludovit Reis makes way for Marco Richter at the 31 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hamburger SV.
  • 36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lukas Schleimer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FC Nurnberg.
  • 51' Berkay Yilmaz is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FC Nurnberg so far.
  • 56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 63' A stunning finish from Mahir Emreli — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 63' Immanuel Pherai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adam Karabec on 63 minute.
  • 64' Hamburger SV ring the changes. Jean-Luc Dompe has done his job and it is now time for Fabio Balde to step up.
  • 65' The referee shows 1. FC Nurnberg player a card on 65.
  • 67' Danilo Soares picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Mahir Emreli as he leaves the pitch. Lukas Schleimer steps in for 1. FC Nurnberg.
  • 71' Another change for 1. FC Nurnberg made on 71 minute. Danilo Soares leaves to be changed by Berkay Yilmaz.
  • 75' Another substitution for Hamburger SV to replace Noah Katterbach by William Mikelbrencis on 75 minute.
  • 80' Hamburger SV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Stefanos Tzimas.
  • 84' Time for substitution for 1. FC Nurnberg. Stefanos Tzimas is replaced by Benjamin Goller.
  • 85' It’s a booking for Hamburger SV player. William Mikelbrencis gets a card.
  • 90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ludovit Reis suffering a number of foals already.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.66 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 1. FC Nürnberg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV49% Draw26% 1. FC Nürnberg25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
75%
Draw or 1. FC Nürnberg
51%
Hamburger SV or 1. FC Nürnberg
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV34% Draw45% 1. FC Nürnberg21%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FC Nürnberg covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
32%
1. FC Nürnberg keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.