Thursday , 2 July 2026

Germany vs Paraguay, Worldcup 2026 LAST 32

FIFA World Cup · 2026
5 6
4 – 5 pen
Full Time
Mon 29 Jun 2026 · 20:30 UTC Gillette Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 42' Julio Enciso
Kai Havertz 54' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Germany vs ParaguayWorldcup at Gillette Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jalal Jayed (Morocco)
  • Assistant 1 Zakaria Brinsi (Morocco)
  • Assistant 2 Mustapha Akerkad (Morocco)
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 24.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Germany 1 games · Avg 11.0 goals Paraguay

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jun Paraguay H 5–6 L
25 Jun Ecuador A 1–2 L
20 Jun Ivory Coast H 2–1 W
14 Jun Curacao H 7–1 W
05 Jul Spain A 1–2 L
29 Jun Denmark H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jun Germany A 6–5 W
26 Jun Australia H 0–0 D
20 Jun Turkey A 1–0 W
13 Jun United States A 0–0 D
02 Jul Peru A 6–7 L
29 Jun Uruguay A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Germany Paraguay
#17 Position #15
6 Points 4
3 Played 3
2 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 1
10 Scored 2
4 Conceded 4
+6 GD -2
2.00 PPG 1.33
67% Win % 33%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Germany this season
75% Clean Sheets
Paraguay this season

Germany are 17th (6 pts). Paraguay are 15th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Germany
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paraguay
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Germany and Paraguay is underway.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Paraguay is showing some good football. However, Paraguay are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Braian Ojeda, as he is very good at scoring at Gillette Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' Antonio Rudiger is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Paraguay tonight.
  • 30' Germany are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Paraguay's 4-5-1 shape.
  • 35' Germany currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Fabian Balbuena is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Paraguay.
  • 42' Goal! Julio Enciso scores his 11 goal in 13 matches.
  • 46' The Germany manager makes a substitution. Felix Kalu Nmecha departs to be replaced by Leon Goretzka.
  • 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Germany and Paraguay are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 54' Kai Havertz makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Germany are in front.
  • 55' Another change for Paraguay made on 55 minute. Gabriel Avalos leaves to be changed by Gustavo Caballero.
  • 57' Fresh legs for Paraguay! Mauricio comes on to replace Julio Enciso.
  • 62' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 63' Germany ring the changes. Deniz Undav has done his job and it is now time for Jamal Musiala to step up.
  • 65' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Andres Cubas.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Antonio Sanabria made 349 appearances and scored 53 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 75' The home supporters are growing impatient. Germany must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 79' The whistle greets Aleksandar Pavlovic as he departs to be replaced by Waldemar Anton.
  • 84' The travelling Paraguay supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Germany. Leroy Sane is replaced by Nick Woltemade.
  • Full Time. Paraguay beats Germany

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
3.82 Germany xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37 Paraguay xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 93% + Both teams to score 87%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Germany54% Draw19% Paraguay27%
Actual: Paraguay win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes87% 0% No13%
Avg goals/match: 6.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 98%
2%
± 2.5 93%
7%
± 3.5 84%
16%
± 4.5 71%
29%

Double Chance

Germany or Draw
74%
Draw or Paraguay
46%
Germany or Paraguay
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Germany50% Draw28% Paraguay22%
Actual: Paraguay win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–6 not predicted
5 – 6
Actual
3 – 2
5.4%
4 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
4.4%
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 3
4%
5 – 2
3.9%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%
5 – 1
3.3%
5 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Germany

Handicap Germany covers Push Paraguay covers
-2.5 30% 70%
-2 30% 16% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 17% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 10% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 7% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Germany keeps clean sheet
10%
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
3%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.