Peru vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Peru vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana .
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- 5' The travelling Paraguay supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gabriel Avalos, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 11' Gustavo Gomez doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 15' It’s a booking for Peru player. Anderson Santamaria gets a card.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Peru needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 21' Gianluca Lapadula adds to his 0 season tally! Peru lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 26' Peru have won 20 goals from 18 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 36' Julio Enciso is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Peru tonight.
- 40' Gianluca Lapadula with the second goal in the match!
- 42' Paraguay receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gustavo Gomez.
- 46' A tactical swap from Paraguay — Robert Rojas on, Angel Lucena off on 46 minutes.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 54' Goal! Junior Alonso scores his 7 goal in 333 matches.
- 59' Mathias Villasanti has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 60' Christian Cueva is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
- 60' Peru make a change. Sergio Pena trudges off to be replaced by Santiago Ormeno on 60 minutes.
- 65' Both keepers have barely been tested. Peru and Paraguay are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 68' Braian Samudio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Carlos Gonzalez at the 68 minute mark.
- 73' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 75' The referee shows Peru player a card on 75.
- 80' A stunning finish from Yoshimar Yotun — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 83' Julio Enciso is ready to make an impact after coming on for Santiago Arzamendia at the 83 minute mark.
- 85' Andre Carrillo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
- 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alberto Espinola on 87 minutes.
- 90' Goal! Gabriel Avalos scores his 48 goal in 163 matches.
- 90' The Peru bench stirs into life. Aldo Corzo is withdrawn and Carlos Lora gets his opportunity.
- Game over. The scoreline of 7-6 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Peru Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 13
- 9
-
8
Sergio Pena ↓ Santiago Ormeno 60'
- 10
- 19
- 15
- 4
- 18
- 1
-
3
Aldo Corzo ↓ Carlos Lora 90'
Bench
- 21
- 2
- 5
- 14
- 16
- 12
- 7
- 24
- 17
- 11
-
26
Carlos Lora ↑ 90'
-
20
Santiago Ormeno ↑ 60'
Paraguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 15
- 6
- 1
- 19
- 7
- 8
- 23
- 13
- 24
-
16
Angel Lucena ↓ Robert Rojas 46'
Bench
- 14
- 3
-
9
Gabriel Avalos ↑ 83'
-
2
Robert Rojas ↑ 46'
- 12
- 21
-
18
Braian Samudio ↑ 68'
- 25
- 17
- 26
- 22
-
28
Julio Enciso ↑ 83'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gianluca Lapadula | 2 |
| Junior Alonso | 1 |
| Gabriel Avalos | 1 |
| Yoshimar Yotun | 1 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 1 |
Head to Head
Peru Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.53
Peru xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.01
Paraguay xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 95% + Both teams to score 91%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Peru win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 6.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 100% |
|
0% |
| ± 1.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 2.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 3.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 4.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
Double Chance
Peru or Draw
69%
Draw or Paraguay
49%
Peru or Paraguay
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Peru win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 7–6 not predicted7 – 6Actual
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
4.2%
4 – 2
4.2%
4 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
4.1%
3 – 4
3.6%
3 – 1
3.4%
4 – 4
3.1%
2 – 4
3.1%
5 – 2
3%
2 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Peru
| Handicap | Peru covers | Push | Paraguay covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 13% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 16% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 14% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 10% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Peru keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.