Sunday , 16 August 2026

Peru vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 QUARTER FINALS

Copa America · 2024
7 6
4 – 3 pen
Full Time
Fri 2 Jul 2021 · 21:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Peru vs ParaguayCopa Sudamericana .

  • Peru 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Paraguay 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Head-to-Head

1
Peru 1 games · Avg 13.0 goals Paraguay

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jul Paraguay H 7–6 W
27 Jun Venezuela A 1–0 W
23 Jun Ecuador A 2–2 D
21 Jun Colombia A 2–1 W
18 Jun Brazil A 0–4 L
07 Jul Brazil A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jul Peru A 6–7 L
29 Jun Uruguay A 0–1 L
25 Jun Chile A 2–0 W
22 Jun Argentina A 0–1 L
15 Jun Bolivia H 3–1 W
28 Jun Brazil A 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Peru are looking to make home advantage count against Paraguay.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' It looks surprising Peru does not make any changes. Renato Tapia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 11' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Gustavo Gomez makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 15' Poor challenge from Anderson Santamaria. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Andre Carrillo made 18 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 21' Goal! Gianluca Lapadula scores his 35 goal in 418 matches.
  • 26' Antony Silva, a Paraguay , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Paraguay that had 14 games and scored 13 goals.
  • 36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' The deadlock is broken! Gianluca Lapadula gets on the scoresheet on 40 minutes.
  • 42' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gustavo Gomez on 42.
  • 45' Paraguay player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' Robert Rojas is replacing Angel Lucena for the Paraguay side.
  • 51' Peru are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Paraguay backline.
  • 54' The deadlock is broken! Junior Alonso gets on the scoresheet on 54 minutes.
  • 59' Paraguay come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 60' A moment of madness from Christian Cueva on 60 minutes earns him a card. Peru will be frustrated.
  • 60' Sergio Pena makes way for Santiago Ormeno at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Peru.
  • 65' Hector Martinez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 68' The Paraguay manager makes a substitution. Carlos Gonzalez departs to be replaced by Braian Samudio.
  • 73' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 75' Andre Carrillo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 80' The Peru Yoshimar Yotun breaks the deadlock on 80 minutes. 3-2!
  • 83' It is a substitution in Paraguay team. Santiago Arzamendia is replaced by Julio Enciso on 83 minute.
  • 85' Andre Carrillo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 87' A moment of madness from Alberto Espinola on 87 minutes earns him a card. Paraguay will be frustrated.
  • 90' GOAL! Gabriel Avalos scores on 90.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Peru. Aldo Corzo is replaced by Carlos Lora.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Peru to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.53 Peru xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.01 Paraguay xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 95% + Both teams to score 91%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Peru51% Draw18% Paraguay31%
Actual: Peru win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes91% 0% No9%
Avg goals/match: 6.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 100%
0%
± 1.5 99%
1%
± 2.5 95%
5%
± 3.5 87%
13%
± 4.5 76%
24%

Double Chance

Peru or Draw
69%
Draw or Paraguay
49%
Peru or Paraguay
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Peru41% Draw28% Paraguay31%
Actual: Peru win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 7–6 not predicted
7 – 6
Actual
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
4.2%
4 – 2
4.2%
4 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
4.1%
3 – 4
3.6%
3 – 1
3.4%
4 – 4
3.1%
2 – 4
3.1%
5 – 2
3%
2 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Peru

Handicap Peru covers Push Paraguay covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 13% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 16% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 14% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 10% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Peru keeps clean sheet
6%
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
4%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.