Peru vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Peru vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana .
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Peru host Paraguay — let the battle begin!
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Peru side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 11' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Gustavo Gomez makes it 0-1.
- 15' Controversy at the stadium! Anderson Santamaria argues furiously but the card stands.
- 20' Paraguay fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 21' Goal! Gianluca Lapadula scores his 35 goal in 423 matches.
- 26' It is a cagey affair so far. Peru in their trying to find a way past Paraguay's compact .
- 31' With 0 assists to his name this season, Braian Samudio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Paraguay.
- 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
- 40' Gianluca Lapadula has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 40 minutes.
- 42' Poor challenge from Gustavo Gomez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gustavo Gomez on 45.
- 46' The Paraguay manager makes a substitution. Angel Lucena departs to be replaced by Robert Rojas.
- 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Peru and Paraguay are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 54' Junior Alonso adds to his 0 season tally! Paraguay lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
- 59' It looks surprising Peru does not make any changes. Pedro Gallese has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 60' A moment of madness from Christian Cueva on 60 minutes earns him a card. Peru will be frustrated.
- 60' Sergio Pena makes way for Santiago Ormeno at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Peru.
- 65' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Paraguay needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 68' Fresh legs for Paraguay! Braian Samudio comes on to replace Carlos Gonzalez.
- 73' Peru are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 75' Poor challenge from Andre Carrillo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 80' What composure from Yoshimar Yotun! The Peru international strokes it home. 3-2.
- 83' Another substitution for Paraguay to replace Santiago Arzamendia by Julio Enciso on 83 minute.
- 85' Peru player sees a card in front of him.
- 87' It’s a booking for Paraguay player. Alberto Espinola gets a card.
- 90' The deadlock is broken! Gabriel Avalos gets on the scoresheet on 90 minutes.
- 90' Aldo Corzo makes way for Carlos Lora at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Peru.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Peru to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Peru Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 13
- 9
-
8
Sergio Pena ↓ Santiago Ormeno 60'
- 10
- 19
- 15
- 4
- 18
- 1
-
3
Aldo Corzo ↓ Carlos Lora 90'
Bench
- 21
- 2
- 5
- 14
- 16
- 12
- 7
- 24
- 17
- 11
-
26
Carlos Lora ↑ 90'
-
20
Santiago Ormeno ↑ 60'
Paraguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 15
- 6
- 1
- 19
- 7
- 8
- 23
- 13
- 24
-
16
Angel Lucena ↓ Robert Rojas 46'
Bench
- 14
- 3
-
9
Gabriel Avalos ↑ 83'
-
2
Robert Rojas ↑ 46'
- 12
- 21
-
18
Braian Samudio ↑ 68'
- 25
- 17
- 26
- 22
-
28
Julio Enciso ↑ 83'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gianluca Lapadula | 2 |
| Yoshimar Yotun | 1 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 1 |
| Junior Alonso | 1 |
| Gabriel Avalos | 1 |
Head to Head
Peru Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.53
Peru xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.01
Paraguay xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 95% + Both teams to score 91%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Peru win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 6.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 100% |
|
0% |
| ± 1.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 2.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 3.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 4.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
Double Chance
Peru or Draw
69%
Draw or Paraguay
49%
Peru or Paraguay
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Peru win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 7–6 not predicted7 – 6Actual
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
4.2%
4 – 2
4.2%
4 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
4.1%
3 – 4
3.6%
3 – 1
3.4%
4 – 4
3.1%
2 – 4
3.1%
5 – 2
3%
2 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Peru
| Handicap | Peru covers | Push | Paraguay covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 13% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 16% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 14% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 10% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Peru keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.