Peru vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Peru vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana .
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Peru and Paraguay.
- 5' Santiago Arzamendia needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Peru is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 11' GOAL! Gustavo Gomez scores on 11.
- 15' Anderson Santamaria was booked on 15.
- 20' Peru is showing some good football. However, Peru are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 21' What an equalizer from Gianluca Lapadula!
- 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 31' Christian Cueva has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 36' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Braian Samudio suffering a number of foals already.
- 40' Peru is taking the lead after the goal scored by Gianluca Lapadula on 40.
- 42' It’s a booking for Paraguay player. Gustavo Gomez gets a card.
- 45' It’s a booking for Paraguay player. Gustavo Gomez gets a card.
- 46' The Paraguay manager makes a substitution. Angel Lucena departs to be replaced by Robert Rojas.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alberto Espinola made 11 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 54' What an equalizer from Junior Alonso!
- 59' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gabriel Avalos, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 60' It’s a booking for Peru player. Christian Cueva gets a card.
- 60' The whistle greets Sergio Pena as he departs to be replaced by Santiago Ormeno.
- 65' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 68' Braian Samudio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Carlos Gonzalez on 68 minute.
- 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 75' That looks like a foul for a card for Andre Carrillo.
- 80' What a strike from Yoshimar Yotun! The score is 3-2.
- 83' Another change for Paraguay made on 83 minute. Santiago Arzamendia leaves to be changed by Julio Enciso.
- 85' The referee calls foul for Andre Carrillo. He receives a card.
- 87' Paraguay receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
- 90' What an equalizer from Gabriel Avalos!
- 90' Another change for Peru made on 90 minute. Aldo Corzo leaves to be changed by Carlos Lora.
- Full Time. Peru beats Paraguay
Lineups
Peru Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 13
- 9
-
8
Sergio Pena ↓ Santiago Ormeno 60'
- 10
- 19
- 15
- 4
- 18
- 1
-
3
Aldo Corzo ↓ Carlos Lora 90'
Bench
- 21
- 2
- 5
- 14
- 16
- 12
- 7
- 24
- 17
- 11
-
26
Carlos Lora ↑ 90'
-
20
Santiago Ormeno ↑ 60'
Paraguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 15
- 6
- 1
- 19
- 7
- 8
- 23
- 13
- 24
-
16
Angel Lucena ↓ Robert Rojas 46'
Bench
- 14
- 3
-
9
Gabriel Avalos ↑ 83'
-
2
Robert Rojas ↑ 46'
- 12
- 21
-
18
Braian Samudio ↑ 68'
- 25
- 17
- 26
- 22
-
28
Julio Enciso ↑ 83'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gianluca Lapadula | 2 |
| Yoshimar Yotun | 1 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 1 |
| Junior Alonso | 1 |
| Gabriel Avalos | 1 |
Head to Head
Peru Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.53
Peru xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.01
Paraguay xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 95% + Both teams to score 91%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Peru win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 6.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 100% |
|
0% |
| ± 1.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 2.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 3.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 4.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
Double Chance
Peru or Draw
69%
Draw or Paraguay
49%
Peru or Paraguay
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Peru win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 7–6 not predicted7 – 6Actual
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
4.2%
4 – 2
4.2%
4 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
4.1%
3 – 4
3.6%
3 – 1
3.4%
4 – 4
3.1%
2 – 4
3.1%
5 – 2
3%
2 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Peru
| Handicap | Peru covers | Push | Paraguay covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 13% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 16% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 14% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 10% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Peru keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.