Sunday , 16 August 2026

Ecuador vs Germany, Worldcup 2026 GROUP STAGE

FIFA World Cup · 2026
2 1
Full Time
Thu 25 Jun 2026 · 20:00 UTC MetLife Stadium 80,663 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Leroy Sane
Nilson Angulo 9' 1–1
Gonzalo Plata 78' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Ecuador vs GermanyWorldcup at MetLife Stadium.

  • Ecuador 3 games · 4 pts (2026/26)
  • Germany 3 games · 6 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

  • Referee Tori Penso (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Brooke Mayo (USA)
  • Assistant 2 Kathryn Nesbitt (USA)
18 games this season 🟨 2.8/game 7.9 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Ecuador 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Germany

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun Germany H 2–1 W
21 Jun Curaçao H 0–0 D
14 Jun Ivory Coast A 0–1 L
29 Nov Senegal H 1–2 L
25 Nov Netherlands A 1–1 D
20 Nov Qatar A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun Ecuador A 1–2 L
20 Jun Ivory Coast H 2–1 W
14 Jun Curaçao H 7–1 W
05 Jul Spain A 1–2 L
29 Jun Denmark H 2–0 W
23 Jun Switzerland A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Ecuador Germany
#19 Position #17
4 Points 6
3 Played 3
1 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 1
2 Scored 10
2 Conceded 4
+0 GD +6
1.33 PPG 2.00
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Ecuador this season
0% Clean Sheets
Germany this season

Ecuador are 19th (4 pts). Germany are 17th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Ecuador
0-15
1/1
16-30
/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Germany
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Germany
Deniz Undav 3 G 2 A
Kai Havertz 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at MetLife Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Ecuador and Germany.
  • 2' A goal from the Germany international Leroy Sane! He fires home on 2 to make it 0-1!
  • 7' The travelling Germany supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 9' Goal! Nilson Angulo scores his 4 goal in 390 matches.
  • 14' Ecuador has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 19' Pascal Gross is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Germany so far.
  • 24' Antonio Rudiger is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Ecuador tonight.
  • 29' Ecuador currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 34' Ecuador are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Germany's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 39' Germany is showing some good football. However, Germany are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 43' It’s gonna be a card for Piero Hincapie.
  • 44' Aleksandar Pavlovic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 44.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Angelo Stiller. He replaces Aleksandar Pavlovic on 46 minute.
  • 50' The referee shows Ecuador player a card on 50.
  • 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 60' Germany ring the changes. Joshua Kimmich has done his job and it is now time for Malick Thiaw to step up.
  • 64' Ecuador manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Angelo Preciado is hanging Alan Franco on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 71' Another substitution for Ecuador to replace Piero Hincapie by Pervis Estupinan on 71 minute.
  • 73' A tactical swap from GermanyPascal Gross on, Florian Wirtz off on 73 minutes.
  • 78' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Gonzalo Plata makes it 2-1.
  • 83' Moises Caicedo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 336 appearances.
  • 85' Jordy Caicedo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nilson Angulo on 85 minute.
  • 89' Gonzalo Plata is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2 Ecuador xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Germany xG
I would bet for: Ecuador or Germany 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ecuador39% Draw29% Germany32%
Actual: Ecuador win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Ecuador or Draw
68%
Draw or Germany
61%
Ecuador or Germany
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ecuador25% Draw50% Germany25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Ecuador

Handicap Ecuador covers Push Germany covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Ecuador keeps clean sheet
30%
Germany keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.