Ecuador vs Germany, Worldcup 2026 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Tori Penso (USA)
- Assistant 1 Brooke Mayo (USA)
- Assistant 2 Kathryn Nesbitt (USA)
24 games this season
🟨 3.4/game
⚽ 9.2 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | Switzerland | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Canada | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Qatar | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Brazil | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Morocco | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Scotland | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Haiti | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | United States | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Australia | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Paraguay | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Turkey | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Germany | 3 | 6 |
| 18 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 6 |
| 19 | Ecuador | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Curacao | 3 | 1 |
| 21 | Netherlands | 3 | 7 |
| 22 | Japan | 3 | 5 |
| 23 | Sweden | 3 | 4 |
| 24 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 |
| 25 | Belgium | 3 | 5 |
| 26 | Egypt | 3 | 5 |
| 27 | Iran | 3 | 3 |
| 28 | New Zealand | 3 | 1 |
| 29 | Spain | 3 | 7 |
| 30 | Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 3 |
| 31 | Uruguay | 3 | 2 |
| 32 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 2 |
| 33 | France | 3 | 9 |
| 34 | Norway | 3 | 6 |
| 35 | Senegal | 3 | 3 |
| 36 | Iraq | 3 | 0 |
| 37 | Argentina | 3 | 9 |
| 38 | Austria | 3 | 4 |
| 39 | Algeria | 3 | 4 |
| 40 | Jordan | 3 | 0 |
| 41 | Colombia | 3 | 7 |
| 42 | Portugal | 3 | 5 |
| 43 | Congo DR | 3 | 4 |
| 44 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 |
| 45 | England | 3 | 7 |
| 46 | Croatia | 3 | 6 |
| 47 | Ghana | 3 | 4 |
| 48 | Panama | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Season Stats
| Ecuador | Germany | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #17 |
| 4 | Points | 6 |
| 3 | Played | 3 |
| 1 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 0 / 1 |
| 2 | Scored | 10 |
| 2 | Conceded | 4 |
| +0 | GD | +6 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Ecuador this season
Ecuador this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Germany this season
Germany this season
Ecuador are 19th (4 pts). Germany are 17th (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Ecuador
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Germany
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Germany
| Deniz Undav | 3 G | 2 A |
| Kai Havertz | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Ecuador host Germany — let the battle begin!
- 2' A goal from the Germany international Leroy Sane! He fires home on 2 to make it 0-1!
- 7' The energy levels are beginning to show. Julian Nagelsmann might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 9' GOAL! Nilson Angulo scores on 9.
- 14' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Ecuador and Germany are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 19' Germany is showing some good football. However, Germany are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 24' With 6 assists to his name this season, Florian Wirtz is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Germany.
- 29' Germany fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Germany is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 39' Ecuador looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Nilson Angulo scoring 1 goals.
- 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Piero Hincapie on 43 minutes.
- 44' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Aleksandar Pavlovic.
- 46' Angelo Stiller is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aleksandar Pavlovic at the 46 minute mark.
- 50' Controversy at the stadium! Alan Franco argues furiously but the card stands.
- 55' Aleksandar Pavlovic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ecuador so far.
- 60' Malick Thiaw is replacing Joshua Kimmich for the Germany side.
- 64' It is a substitution in Ecuador team. Alan Franco is replaced by Angelo Preciado on 64 minute.
- 69' Jamal Musiala has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Pervis Estupinan. He replaces Piero Hincapie on 71 minute.
- 73' The whistle greets Florian Wirtz as he departs to be replaced by Pascal Gross.
- 78' Magnificent from Gonzalo Plata! That is 15 goals in 518 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 83' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jonathan Tah made 166 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 85' The crowd applauds Nilson Angulo as he leaves the pitch. Jordy Caicedo steps in for Ecuador.
- 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gonzalo Plata.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Ecuador Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
9
John Yeboah ↓ Felix Torres 85'
- 13
- 19
-
21
Alan Franco ↓ Angelo Preciado 64'
- 3
- 23
- 1
- 15
- 6
-
20
Nilson Angulo ↓ Jordy Caicedo 85'
- 4
Bench
-
7
Pervis Estupinan ↑ 71'
- 25
-
17
Angelo Preciado ↑ 64'
-
16
Jordy Caicedo ↑ 85'
-
2
Felix Torres ↑ 85'
- 5
- 8
- 12
-
11
Kevin Rodriguez ↑ 64'
- 26
- 10
- 14
- 24
- 18
- 22
Coach
Sebastián Beccacece
Germany Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 19
- 1
-
6
Joshua Kimmich ↓ Malick Thiaw 60'
- 4
-
7
Kai Havertz ↓ Deniz Undav 60'
- 22
- 23
-
17
Florian Wirtz ↓ Pascal Gross 73'
- 10
- 5
Bench
-
13
Pascal Gross ↑ 73'
- 8
- 3
- 12
- 20
- 21
- 9
- 11
-
14
Maximilian Beier ↑ 64'
-
24
Malick Thiaw ↑ 60'
-
26
Deniz Undav ↑ 60'
-
16
Angelo Stiller ↑ 46'
- 25
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2
Ecuador xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Germany xG
I would bet for:
Ecuador or Germany 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Ecuador win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Ecuador or Draw
68%
Draw or Germany
61%
Ecuador or Germany
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Ecuador
| Handicap | Ecuador covers | Push | Germany covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 20% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Germany keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.