Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Ecuador vs Germany, Worldcup 2026 GROUP STAGE

FIFA World Cup · 2026
Ecuador
2 – 1
Full Time
Germany
Thu 25 Jun 2026 · 20:00 UTC MetLife Stadium 80,663 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Leroy Sane
Nilson Angulo 9' 1–1
Gonzalo Plata 78' 2–1
Piero Hincapie 43' Y
Y 44' Aleksandar Pavlovic
Alan Franco 50' Y
Gonzalo Plata 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ecuador vs Germany — Worldcup at MetLife Stadium.

  • Ecuador 3 games · 4 pts (2026/26)
  • Germany 3 games · 6 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

  • Referee Tori Penso (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Brooke Mayo (USA)
  • Assistant 2 Kathryn Nesbitt (USA)
20 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Mexico 3 9
2 South Africa 3 4
3 South Korea 3 3
4 Czechia 3 1
5 Switzerland 3 7
6 Canada 3 4
7 Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 4
8 Qatar 3 1
9 Brazil 3 7
10 Morocco 3 7
11 Scotland 3 3
12 Haiti 3 0
13 United States 3 6
14 Australia 3 4
15 Paraguay 3 4
16 Turkey 3 3
17 Germany 3 6
18 Ivory Coast 3 6
19 Ecuador 3 4
20 Curacao 3 1
21 Netherlands 3 7
22 Japan 3 5
23 Sweden 3 4
24 Tunisia 3 0
25 Belgium 3 5
26 Egypt 3 5
27 Iran 3 3
28 New Zealand 3 1
29 Spain 3 7
30 Cape Verde Islands 3 3
31 Uruguay 3 2
32 Saudi Arabia 3 2
33 France 3 9
34 Norway 3 6
35 Senegal 3 3
36 Iraq 3 0
37 Argentina 3 9
38 Austria 3 4
39 Algeria 3 4
40 Jordan 3 0
41 Colombia 3 7
42 Portugal 3 5
43 Congo DR 3 4
44 Uzbekistan 3 0
45 England 3 7
46 Croatia 3 6
47 Ghana 3 4
48 Panama 3 0

Head-to-Head

1
Ecuador 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Germany
Last 5 meetings
2026-06-25 Ecuador 2–1 Germany

Recent Form

Ecuador
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun Germany H 2–1 W
21 Jun Curacao H 0–0 D
14 Jun Ivory Coast A 0–1 L
29 Nov Senegal H 1–2 L
25 Nov Netherlands A 1–1 D
20 Nov Qatar A 2–0 W
Germany
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun Ecuador A 1–2 L
20 Jun Ivory Coast H 2–1 W
14 Jun Curacao H 7–1 W
05 Jul Spain A 1–2 L
29 Jun Denmark H 2–0 W
23 Jun Switzerland A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Ecuador Germany
#19 Position #17
4 Points 6
3 Played 3
1 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 1
2 Scored 10
2 Conceded 4
+0 GD +6
1.33 PPG 2.00
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Ecuador this season
0% Clean Sheets
Germany this season

Ecuador are 19th (4 pts). Germany are 17th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Ecuador
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Germany
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Germany
Deniz Undav 3 G 2 A
Kai Havertz 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Ecuador is hosting Germany for another epic battle.
  • 2' GOAL! Leroy Sane fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 7' Both keepers have barely been tested. Ecuador and Germany are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 9' Nilson Angulo does the damage! The net is bulging and Ecuador surge ahead!
  • 14' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Germany that had 166 games and scored 50 goals.
  • 19' Germany seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 24' Joel Ordonez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 29' Ecuador looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Nilson Angulo scoring 1 goals.
  • 34' Ecuador has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 39' Ecuador are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Germany backline.
  • 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Piero Hincapie on 43 minutes.
  • 44' It’s a booking for Germany player. Aleksandar Pavlovic gets a card.
  • 46' A change in the Germany ranks — Aleksandar Pavlovic exits the field as Angelo Stiller enters on 46.
  • 50' The referee shows Ecuador player a card on 50.
  • 55' It looks surprising Ecuador does not make any changes. Gonzalo Plata has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 60' Germany manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Malick Thiaw is hanging Joshua Kimmich on the field on 60 minute.
  • 64' A tactical swap from Ecuador — Angelo Preciado on, Alan Franco off on 64 minutes.
  • 69' Moises Caicedo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 341 appearances.
  • 71' Another change for Ecuador made on 71 minute. Piero Hincapie leaves to be changed by Pervis Estupinan.
  • 73' Pascal Gross is replacing Florian Wirtz for the Germany side.
  • 78' The deadlock is broken! Gonzalo Plata gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Manuel Neuer is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Germany so far.
  • 85' Ecuador manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jordy Caicedo is hanging Nilson Angulo on the field on 85 minute.
  • 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gonzalo Plata on 89.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Ecuador to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Ecuador Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sebastián Beccacece

Germany Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Julian Nagelsmann

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2 Ecuador xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Germany xG
I would bet for: Ecuador or Germany 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ecuador39% Draw29% Germany32%
Actual: Ecuador win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Ecuador or Draw
68%
Draw or Germany
61%
Ecuador or Germany
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ecuador25% Draw50% Germany25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Ecuador

Handicap Ecuador covers Push Germany covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Ecuador keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Germany keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.