Friday , 25 September 2026

France vs Poland, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2024
France
1 – 1
Full Time
Poland
Tue 25 Jun 2024 · 16:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 59,728 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe pen 56' 1–0
1–1 79' Robert Lewandowski pen
Y 24' Nicola Zalewski
Adrien Rabiot 43' Y
Y 53' Michal Probierz
Y 89' Pawel Dawidowicz
Y 90' Karol Swiderski

Overview

Match Preview

France vs Poland — European Championship at Signal Iduna Park.

  • France 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Poland 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
  • Assistant 2 Giorgio Peretti
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 11.2 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
France 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Poland
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-25 France 1–1 Poland 2022-12-04 France 3–1 Poland

Recent Form

France
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun Poland H 1–1 D
21 Jun Netherlands A 0–0 D
17 Jun Austria A 1–0 W
18 Dec Argentina A 5–7 L
14 Dec Morocco H 2–0 W
10 Dec England A 2–1 W
Poland
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun France A 1–1 D
21 Jun Austria H 1–3 L
16 Jun Netherlands H 1–2 L
04 Dec France A 1–3 L
30 Nov Argentina H 0–2 L
26 Nov Saudi Arabia H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
France this season
0% Clean Sheets
Poland this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

France
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Poland
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Poland
Krzysztof Piatek 1 G
Adam Buksa 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Poland get us underway at Signal Iduna Park.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both France and Poland are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' Poland fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. France in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Poland's compact 5-3-2.
  • 20' Sebastian Szymanski, a Poland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 24' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicola Zalewski.
  • 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lukasz Skorupski, as he is very good at scoring at Signal Iduna Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' It looks like no one’s ball. France is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 43' Controversy at the stadium! Adrien Rabiot argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 48' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aurelien Tchouameni made 391 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 53' Michal Probierz was booked on 53.
  • 56' A stunning finish from Kylian Mbappe — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 61' Time for substitution for France. N'Golo Kante is replaced by Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 66' William Saliba has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 68' A tactical swap from Poland — Michal Skoras on, Nicola Zalewski off on 68 minutes.
  • 73' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 78' Theo Hernandez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Poland tonight.
  • 79' Robert Lewandowski adds to his 6 season tally! Poland lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Aurelien Tchouameni as he leaves the pitch. Youssouf Fofana steps in for France.
  • 86' Another substitution for France to replace Ousmane Dembele by Randal Kolo Muani on 86 minute.
  • 89' Pawel Dawidowicz is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Karol Swiderski.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

France Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Didier Deschamps

Poland Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michal Probierz

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 France xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Poland xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
France51% Draw26% Poland23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

France or Draw
78%
Draw or Poland
49%
France or Poland
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
France34% Draw48% Poland18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — France

Handicap France covers Push Poland covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

France keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.