Thursday , 2 July 2026

Poland vs Netherlands, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2024
Poland
1 – 2
Full Time
Netherlands
Sun 16 Jun 2024 · 13:00 UTC Volksparkstadion 48,117 HT 45' · FT 45'
Adam Buksa 16' 1–0
1–1 29' Cody Gakpo
1–2 83' Wout Weghorst
Y 15' Joey Veerman

Overview

Match Preview

Poland vs Netherlands — European Championship at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Artur Dias (Portugal)
  • Assistant 1 Paulo Soares
  • Assistant 2 Pedro Ribeiro
3 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Poland 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Netherlands
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-16 Poland 1–2 Netherlands

Recent Form

Poland
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jun Netherlands H 1–2 L
04 Dec France A 1–3 L
30 Nov Argentina H 0–2 L
26 Nov Saudi Arabia H 2–0 W
22 Nov Mexico A 0–0 D
23 Jun Sweden A 2–3 L
Netherlands
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jun Poland A 2–1 W
09 Dec Argentina H 5–6 L
03 Dec United States H 3–1 W
29 Nov Qatar H 2–0 W
25 Nov Ecuador H 1–1 D
21 Nov Senegal A 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Poland this season
33% Clean Sheets
Netherlands this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Poland
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Netherlands
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Poland
Krzysztof Piatek 1 G
Adam Buksa 1 G
Netherlands
Cody Gakpo 3 G 1 A
Donyell Malen 2 G
Wout Weghorst 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Poland to score. At the same time, Netherlands does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Bart Verbruggen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Netherlands needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' That looks like a foul for a card for Joey Veerman.
  • 16' Poland is taking the lead after the goal scored by Adam Buksa on 16.
  • 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Netherlands winning 100% of all matches.
  • 26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 29' What an equalizer from Cody Gakpo!
  • 34' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jeremie Frimpong made 410 appearances and scored 36 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 39' Netherlands looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Cody Gakpo scoring 1 goals.
  • 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jakub Kiwior suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Poland team. Sebastian Szymanski is replaced by Jakub Moder on 46 minute.
  • 51' It’s high time Michal Probierz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' Time for substitution for Poland. Kacper Urbanski is replaced by Karol Swiderski.
  • 60' It looks like no one’s ball. Poland is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 62' Another substitution for Netherlands to replace Joey Veerman by Georginio Wijnaldum on 62 minute.
  • 67' Sebastian Szymanski has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 72' Poland is showing some good football. However, Poland are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 77' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 77 minutes.
  • 78' Another change for Poland made on 78 minute. Piotr Zielinski leaves to be changed by Jakub Piotrowski.
  • 81' Netherlands manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jeremie Frimpong is hanging Cody Gakpo on the field on 81 minute.
  • 83' Goal! Wout Weghorst scores his 102 goal in 471 matches.
  • 86' Another change for Poland made on 86 minute. Bartosz Salamon leaves to be changed by Bartosz Bereszynski.
  • 87' Netherlands manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mickey van de Ven is hanging Nathan Ake on the field on 87 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Poland.

Lineups

Poland Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michal Probierz

Netherlands Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ronald Koeman

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 Poland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Netherlands xG
I would bet for: Netherlands or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Poland28% Draw29% Netherlands43%
Actual: Netherlands win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Poland or Draw
57%
Draw or Netherlands
72%
Poland or Netherlands
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Poland21% Draw48% Netherlands31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
10.1%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8%
1 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Poland

Handicap Poland covers Push Netherlands covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 22% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Poland keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Netherlands keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.